Arkansas's 1st Congressional District
Arkansas · Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — flipped 1 time in 25 elections
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 73.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 4.3% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 16.6% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% |
Key demographics
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Median household income | $53K |
| Bachelor's or higher | 18.4% |
| English only at home | 90.6% |
| Other language at home | 3.5% |
| Foreign-born | 2.3% |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | R+45.5 |
| 2020 | R+42.5 |
| 2016 | R+34.8 |
| 2012 | R+25.6 |
| 2008 | R+18.5 |
Arkansas's 1st Congressional District is a congressional district that has a population of 752,719. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+45.5. Akashic Edge tracks 5 presidential elections here, dating back to 2008.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26.3% | 71.8% | R+45.5 | R+3.0 |
| 2020 | 27.4% | 69.9% | R+42.5 | R+7.7 |
| 2016 | 30.2% | 65.0% | R+34.8 | R+9.2 |
| 2012 | 37.2% | 62.8% | R+25.6 | R+7.2 |
| 2008 | 39.0% | 57.5% | R+18.5 | — |
What defines AR-01?
AR-01 has been trending Republican — 20pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class electorate (18% college-educated) — a demographic increasingly aligned with Republicans nationwide.
District in State Context
Precinct Deep Dive
2024 / 2020 precinct vintages
See how each split precinct fragment inside AR-01 voted, swung, and lines up demographically.
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 45.5% margin
- Shifted 19.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | AR-01 | State | National |
|---|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 73.5% | 67.4% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(7) | 16.6% | 14.7% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(15) | 4.3% | 9.0% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% | 1.6% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.3% | — | 0.9% |
Method notes
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
18% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 15pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+15 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
753K
Share of U.S. population
0.22%
Voting-age population
73.7%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$52,771
Poverty rate
18.9%
College degree
18.4%
Homeownership
67.5%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
40.1 yrs
Age 18–29
14.3%
Age 65+
18.9%
Foreign born
2.3%
Non-English at home
3.7%
English only
96.3%
Turnout in AR-01
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
46.6%
+3.4pp
554,683
2008–2024
How competitive is AR-01?
Safe RAvg margin: R+40.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+18.5
2012
R+25.6
2016
R+34.8
2020
R+42.5
2024
R+45.5
27.0pp
0
R+33.4
Do voters in AR-01 split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs House | R+45.5 | R+48.9 | 3.4pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 45.9pp
Other Arkansas Districts
Compare the rest of the delegation at a glance, with each card anchored to the latest House margin on current district pages.
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