Safe Republican — shifted 7.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 54.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(13) | 11.5% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 31.3% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.6% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 1.6% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 22.1% | 68.3% |
| Black Protestant | 5.9% | 18.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.1% | 6.4% |
| Other | 1.8% | 5.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.8% | 5.5% |
| Catholic | 0.5% | 1.7% |
| Non-religious | 67.7% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+39.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+31.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+28.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+16.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+14.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+10.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+10.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+5.8 |
| 1992 | Clinton+5.9 |
Hamilton, Florida is a county that has a population of 13,616. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+39.0. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30.1% | 69.1% | R+39.0 | R+7.3 |
| 2020 | 33.7% | 65.4% | R+31.8 | R+3.6 |
| 2016 | 34.9% | 63.1% | R+28.2 | R+11.4 |
| 2012 | 41.1% | 57.9% | R+16.8 | R+2.2 |
| 2008 | 42.2% | 56.8% | R+14.6 | R+4.1 |
| 2004 | 44.5% | 55.0% | R+10.5 | D+0.2 |
| 2000 | 43.4% | 54.1% | R+10.7 | R+16.5 |
| 1996 | 47.2% | 41.4% | D+5.8 | R+0.1 |
| 1992 | 43.5% | 37.6% | D+5.9 | D+27.8 |
| 1988 | 38.8% | 60.7% | R+21.9 | R+6.3 |
| 1984 | 42.2% | 57.8% | R+15.7 | R+34.6 |
| 1980 | 58.6% | 39.7% | D+19.0 | R+23.7 |
| 1976 | 69.6% | 26.9% | D+42.7 | D+89.6 |
| 1972 | 26.4% | 73.3% | R+47.0 | R+64.7 |
| 1968 | 30.0% | 12.3% | D+17.7 | D+11.8 |
| 1964 | 52.9% | 47.1% | D+5.8 | R+28.1 |
| 1960 | 67.0% | 33.0% | D+34.0 | R+18.5 |
| 1956 | 76.2% | 23.7% | D+52.5 | D+14.9 |
| 1952 | 68.8% | 31.2% | D+37.6 | R+16.3 |
| 1948 | 66.4% | 12.5% | D+53.9 | — |
Hamilton has been trending Republican — 22pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (46% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Contextual statewide polling for Florida. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Ashley Moody leads at 44.5%
Byron Donalds leads at 43.5%