Safe Republican — shifted 4.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 35 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
413K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+24.7
TURNOUT
68.7%
#31 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$73K
COLLEGE+
28%
Place Story
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 39.1pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Contextual statewide polling for Florida. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Ashley Moody leads at 44.5%
Byron Donalds leads at 43.5%