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Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

Latest: 2024↓ R+9.5 vs 2020

Competitive — shifted 9.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 2.8M residents — 4 counties

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  • POPULATION

    2.8M

  • COUNTIES

    4

  • PRES MARGIN

    D+1.2

    2024

  • TURNOUT

    58.6%

  • MEDIAN INCOME

    $79K

Place Story

What defines Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

Methodology

Constituent Counties

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Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Orange1.5M
D+13.6
340,807258,279607,19948.2%
Seminole481K
R+3.5
120,717129,735253,72720.1%
Osceola427K
R+1.4
84,20586,713172,78013.7%
Lake413K
R+24.7
84,546140,500226,78818.0%
4 countiesTotal votes: 1,260,494
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL's political evolution with the Historian
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FLCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 41.9%Hispanic 33.3%Black 15.8%Asian 4.5%Multiracial 4.2%
GroupLocalNational
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
41.9%57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)
33.3%19.3%
▶Black / African American(15)
15.8%12.2%
▶Asian(6)
4.5%6.0%
Multiracial / Other
4.2%4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11)
0.9%0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)
0.3%0.9%
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3)
0.1%0.2%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
46.3%(1.3M people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -10.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Evangelical Protestant
19.8%42.7%——
Catholic
16.8%36.4%——
Other
4.5%9.7%——
Black Protestant
2.6%5.6%——
Mainline Protestant
2.4%5.1%——
LDS (Mormon)
0.9%1.9%——
Orthodox Christian
0.3%0.6%——
Non-religiousPopulation
53.7%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.
Explore Evangelical Protestant adherence nationally

Who lives in the Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL metro area? 2,793,746 residents across 4 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL vs National2.8M residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
2.8M
local
2.8MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.83%
local
0.83%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
77.0%
local
77.0%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$78,781
local
$78,781National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
11.7%
local
11.7%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
36.8%
local
36.8%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
63.1%
local
63.1%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
38.7 yrs
local
38.7 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
16.2%
local
16.2%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
15.7%
local
15.7%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
21.1%
local
21.1%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
34.9%
local
34.9%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
65.1%
local
65.1%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
58.6%
vs Previous
-1.5pp
Voting-Age Pop
2,150,372
History
1988–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL?

Lean DAvg margin: D+7.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+8.8
2012
D+7.7
2016
D+11.7
2020
D+10.7
2024
D+1.2
Elasticity
10.5pp
margin range
Party Flips
1
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+8.0
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyHeavy splitting (42/100)
2024 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
President vs SenateD+1.2D+0.70.5pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 11.3pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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