Orange County, Florida
Latest: 2024
Leans Democratic — shifted 9.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 35.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(20) | 33.8% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 20.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 5.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(11) | 1.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 22.6% | 46.0% |
| Catholic | 15.7% | 31.9% |
| Other | 4.8% | 9.9% |
| Black Protestant | 3.3% | 6.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.3% | 4.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.8% | 1.7% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 50.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+13.6 |
| 2020 | Biden+23.1 |
| 2016 | Clinton+24.6 |
| 2012 | Obama+18.2 |
| 2008 | Obama+18.6 |
| 2004 | Kerry+0.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+2.0 |
| 1996 | Dole+0.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+11.0 |
Orange, Florida is a county that has a population of 1,471,937. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+13.6. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56.1% | 42.5% | D+13.6 | R+9.5 |
| 2020 | 61.0% | 37.9% | D+23.1 | R+1.5 |
| 2016 | 60.4% | 35.7% | D+24.6 | D+6.4 |
| 2012 | 58.6% | 40.4% | D+18.2 | R+0.4 |
| 2008 | 59.0% | 40.3% | D+18.6 | D+18.4 |
| 2004 | 49.8% | 49.6% | D+0.2 | R+1.8 |
| 2000 | 50.1% | 48.0% | D+2.0 | D+2.3 |
| 1996 | 45.7% | 45.9% | R+0.2 | D+10.8 |
| 1992 | 34.9% | 45.9% | R+11.0 | D+25.6 |
| 1988 | 31.3% | 67.9% | R+36.6 | D+6.3 |
| 1984 | 28.5% | 71.4% | R+42.9 | R+15.9 |
| 1980 | 34.1% | 61.1% | R+27.0 | R+17.8 |
| 1976 | 44.8% | 54.0% | R+9.2 | D+50.3 |
| 1972 | 20.1% | 79.6% | R+59.5 | R+31.4 |
| 1968 | 22.4% | 50.5% | R+28.1 | R+15.9 |
| 1964 | 43.9% | 56.1% | R+12.2 | D+29.7 |
| 1960 | 29.0% | 71.0% | R+42.0 | D+2.1 |
| 1956 | 27.9% | 72.0% | R+44.1 | R+2.0 |
| 1952 | 28.9% | 71.1% | R+42.1 | R+34.7 |
| 1948 | 39.2% | 46.7% | R+7.4 | — |
What defines Orange?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
Current Florida Polling
Contextual statewide polling for Florida. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
2026 Florida Senate General Election
Ashley Moody leads at 44.5%
2 pollsLow
Field Preview
2026 Florida Governor General Election
Byron Donalds leads at 43.5%
3 pollsLow
Field Preview
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Turnout of 54.2% in 2024 ranked 62 of 67 in the state — bottom quartile
- Margins have been narrowing — from 24.6pp to 13.6pp over the last 3 presidential elections
Located In
Orange sits inside these higher-level geographies.