Competitive — shifted 6.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Presidential margin · 2008 → 2024
2008
D+17.5
Obama
2012
D+21.3
2016
D+13.8
Clinton
2020
D+11.4
Biden
2024
D+4.7
Harris
Who lives here
Economy & age
Faith & language
99% English only1% Non-English