
Augusta-Aiken
Leans Republican — shifted 4.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 741K residents — 18 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 6.2% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 36.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.2% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 29.9% | 58.6% |
| Black Protestant | 6.8% | 13.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 6.1% | 12.0% |
| Catholic | 4.9% | 9.6% |
| Other | 3.1% | 6.2% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 49.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+9.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+5.1 |
| 2016 | Trump+8.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+5.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+5.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+14.9 |
| 2000 | Bush+13.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+5.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+4.2 |
Augusta-Aiken is a media market that has a population of 741,452. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+9.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 45.0% | 54.2% | R+9.2 | R+4.0 |
| 2020 | 46.8% | 51.9% | R+5.1 | D+3.8 |
| 2016 | 43.7% | 52.7% | R+8.9 | R+3.3 |
| 2012 | 46.6% | 52.2% | R+5.6 | R+0.4 |
| 2008 | 47.0% | 52.2% | R+5.2 | D+9.7 |
| 2004 | 42.2% | 57.1% | R+14.9 | R+1.3 |
| 2000 | 42.5% | 56.1% | R+13.6 | R+8.4 |
| 1996 | 44.9% | 50.0% | R+5.2 | R+0.9 |
| 1992 | 41.8% | 46.1% | R+4.2 | D+20.7 |
| 1988 | 37.3% | 62.2% | R+24.9 | R+2.2 |
| 1984 | 38.5% | 61.2% | R+22.7 | R+31.1 |
| 1980 | 53.2% | 44.8% | D+8.4 | R+10.8 |
| 1976 | 59.5% | 40.3% | D+19.2 | D+66.6 |
| 1972 | 26.0% | 73.4% | R+47.4 | R+41.4 |
| 1968 | 29.5% | 35.6% | R+6.0 | D+25.2 |
| 1964 | 34.4% | 65.6% | R+31.3 | R+27.7 |
| 1960 | 48.2% | 51.8% | R+3.6 | R+11.6 |
| 1956 | 48.7% | 40.6% | D+8.0 | R+18.3 |
| 1952 | 55.1% | 28.7% | D+26.4 | D+11.4 |
| 1948 | 21.7% | 6.7% | D+14.9 | — |
What defines Augusta-Aiken?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (49% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Counties in Augusta-Aiken
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richmond | 206K | D+36.1 | 56,657 | 26,472 | 83,578 | 23.8% |
| Aiken | 174K | R+25.9 | 31,298 | 53,592 | 86,091 | 24.5% |
| Columbia | 162K | R+25.6 | 31,624 | 53,657 | 85,920 | 24.4% |
| Edgefield | 27K | R+31.9 | 4,659 | 9,092 | 13,919 | 4.0% |
| Burke | 24K | R+9.3 | 4,994 | 6,027 | 11,070 | 3.1% |
| Emanuel | 23K | R+44.1 | 2,673 | 6,919 | 9,619 | 2.7% |
| Mcduffie | 22K | R+24.9 | 3,937 | 6,562 | 10,537 | 3.0% |
| Barnwell | 21K | R+15.5 | 4,082 | 5,605 | 9,803 | 2.8% |
| Jefferson | 15K | R+1.2 | 3,674 | 3,765 | 7,463 | 2.1% |
| Bamberg | 13K | D+15.3 | 3,245 | 2,376 | 5,694 | 1.6% |
| Mccormick | 10K | R+17.1 | 2,513 | 3,565 | 6,153 | 1.8% |
| Wilkes | 10K | R+16.9 | 2,112 | 2,971 | 5,098 | 1.5% |
| Jenkins | 9K | R+30.4 | 1,179 | 2,217 | 3,409 | 1.0% |
| Lincoln | 8K | R+44.8 | 1,351 | 3,559 | 4,931 | 1.4% |
| Allendale | 8K | D+44.7 | 2,165 | 813 | 3,023 | 0.9% |
| Warren | 5K | D+4.7 | 1,354 | 1,232 | 2,592 | 0.7% |
| Glascock | 3K | R+83.9 | 133 | 1,534 | 1,670 | 0.5% |
| Taliaferro | 2K | D+14.9 | 507 | 375 | 884 | 0.3% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Swung 4.0 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
Who Lives Here
| Group | Augusta-Aiken | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 51.1% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 36.5% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(17) | 6.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.1% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.9% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 0.3% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -53.5pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29.9% | 58.6% | — | — | |
| 6.8% | 13.4% | — | — | |
| 6.1% | 12.0% | — | — | |
| 4.9% | 9.6% | — | — | |
| 3.1% | 6.2% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.1% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 49.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Augusta-Aiken media market? 741,452 residents across 18 counties.
Demographics
27% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+3 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Augusta-Aiken
How competitive is Augusta-Aiken?
Do voters in Augusta-Aiken split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | R+11.1 | R+14.1 | 3.1pp |