Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
65K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+47.4
TURNOUT
65.7%
#53 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$66K
COLLEGE+
27%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 90% non-Hispanic white (+33pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 44.2pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 21pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Contextual statewide polling for Illinois. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Raja Krishnamoorthi leads at 32.1%