Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk
Safe Republican — 248K residents — 15 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 90.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 2.4% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 3.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 24.9% | 48.2% |
| Catholic | 12.7% | 24.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 11.4% | 22.0% |
| Other | 2.2% | 4.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 2.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.4% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 48.3% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+46.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+43.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+41.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+19.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+11.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+17.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+8.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+7.1 |
Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk is a media market that has a population of 248,323. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+46.9. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25.8% | 72.7% | R+46.9 | R+3.0 |
| 2020 | 27.0% | 70.9% | R+43.9 | R+2.5 |
| 2016 | 26.5% | 67.9% | R+41.4 | R+21.8 |
| 2012 | 39.1% | 58.7% | R+19.6 | R+8.2 |
| 2008 | 43.5% | 54.9% | R+11.4 | D+6.3 |
| 2004 | 40.8% | 58.5% | R+17.7 | R+9.4 |
| 2000 | 44.9% | 53.2% | R+8.3 | R+12.8 |
| 1996 | 46.0% | 41.5% | D+4.5 | R+2.5 |
| 1992 | 43.7% | 36.7% | D+7.1 | D+3.1 |
| 1988 | 51.7% | 47.8% | D+3.9 | D+24.1 |
| 1984 | 39.7% | 59.9% | R+20.2 | R+2.4 |
| 1980 | 38.7% | 56.5% | R+17.8 | R+12.1 |
| 1976 | 46.6% | 52.3% | R+5.7 | D+21.6 |
| 1972 | 36.1% | 63.5% | R+27.3 | R+15.5 |
| 1968 | 39.8% | 51.7% | R+11.8 | R+33.3 |
| 1964 | 60.8% | 39.2% | D+21.5 | D+28.8 |
| 1960 | 46.3% | 53.6% | R+7.3 | D+4.6 |
| 1956 | 44.0% | 55.9% | R+11.9 | R+0.8 |
| 1952 | 44.4% | 55.5% | R+11.1 | R+21.1 |
| 1948 | 54.7% | 44.7% | D+10.0 | — |
What defines Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk?
Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk has been trending Republican — 27pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Counties in Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adams | 65K | R+47.4 | 8,111 | 23,161 | 31,766 | 26.1% |
| Lee | 33K | R+27.7 | 5,659 | 10,152 | 16,198 | 13.3% |
| Marion | 28K | R+52.9 | 3,032 | 9,991 | 13,153 | 10.8% |
| McDonough | 27K | R+18.8 | 4,736 | 6,987 | 11,972 | 9.9% |
| Hancock | 17K | R+49.9 | 2,183 | 6,708 | 9,065 | 7.5% |
| Pike | 14K | R+63.7 | 1,302 | 6,086 | 7,509 | 6.2% |
| Ralls | 10K | R+59.2 | 1,154 | 4,575 | 5,777 | 4.8% |
| Lewis | 10K | R+60.0 | 872 | 3,565 | 4,486 | 3.7% |
| Monroe | 9K | R+59.8 | 857 | 3,476 | 4,378 | 3.6% |
| Schuyler | 7K | R+46.8 | 961 | 2,720 | 3,759 | 3.1% |
| Clark | 7K | R+61.5 | 628 | 2,679 | 3,333 | 2.7% |
| Brown | 6K | R+59.9 | 467 | 1,938 | 2,455 | 2.0% |
| Shelby | 6K | R+65.6 | 550 | 2,691 | 3,262 | 2.7% |
| Scott | 5K | R+61.2 | 488 | 2,071 | 2,587 | 2.1% |
| Knox | 4K | R+64.5 | 311 | 1,479 | 1,810 | 1.5% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 46.9% margin
- Shifted 27.3 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Who Lives Here
| Group | Local | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 90.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(8) | 3.3% | 12.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.2% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 2.4% | 19.3% |
▶Asian(6) | 0.7% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.1% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -28.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24.9% | 48.2% | — | — | |
| 12.7% | 24.6% | — | — | |
| 11.4% | 22.0% | — | — | |
| 2.2% | 4.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 2.8% | — | — |
| 0.4% | 0.9% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 48.3% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk media market? 248,323 residents across 15 counties.
Demographics
23% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 10pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk
How competitive is Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk?
Do voters in Quincy-Hannibal-Keokuk split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Governor | R+46.9 | R+60.6 | 13.8pp |
| President vs Senate | R+46.9 | R+55.2 | 8.3pp |
| Senate vs Governor | R+55.2 | R+60.6 | 5.4pp |