Leans Democratic — shifted 5.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
517K
COMPETITIVENESS
Likely D
2024 PRES
D+9.3
TURNOUT
57.5%
#96 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$103K
COLLEGE+
38%
Place Story
Leans Democratic since 2008
Catholic edge: 44pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 41.5pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Contextual statewide polling for Illinois. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Raja Krishnamoorthi leads at 32.1%