Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 2.2% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 3.3% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.3% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 23.2% | 57.7% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.6% | 21.4% |
| Catholic | 7.7% | 19.1% |
| Other | 0.8% | 1.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 1.9% |
| Non-religious | 59.8% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+44.0 |
| 2020 | Trump+41.0 |
| 2016 | Trump+39.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+14.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+2.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+6.7 |
| 2000 | Gore+2.4 |
| 1996 | Clinton+12.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+20.3 |
Montgomery, Illinois is a county that has a population of 27,942. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+44.0. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27.1% | 71.0% | R+44.0 | R+3.0 |
| 2020 | 28.4% | 69.4% | R+41.0 | R+1.5 |
| 2016 | 27.0% | 66.5% | R+39.5 | R+25.4 |
| 2012 | 41.5% | 55.6% | R+14.1 | R+16.7 |
| 2008 | 50.3% | 47.6% | D+2.6 | D+9.4 |
| 2004 | 46.2% | 53.0% | R+6.7 | R+9.2 |
| 2000 | 50.5% | 48.0% | D+2.4 | R+10.0 |
| 1996 | 50.2% | 37.8% | D+12.4 | R+7.9 |
| 1992 | 50.0% | 29.7% | D+20.3 | D+13.7 |
| 1988 | 53.0% | 46.4% | D+6.6 | D+19.1 |
| 1984 | 43.5% | 56.1% | R+12.5 | D+8.4 |
| 1980 | 37.1% | 58.0% | R+20.9 | R+26.9 |
| 1976 | 52.5% | 46.6% | D+6.0 | D+19.6 |
| 1972 | 43.1% | 56.7% | R+13.6 | R+12.2 |
| 1968 | 44.8% | 46.2% | R+1.4 | R+25.8 |
| 1964 | 62.2% | 37.8% | D+24.4 | D+26.5 |
| 1960 | 49.0% | 51.0% | R+2.0 | D+10.8 |
| 1956 | 43.6% | 56.4% | R+12.8 | R+2.8 |
| 1952 | 45.0% | 54.9% | R+10.0 | R+7.3 |
| 1948 | 48.0% | 50.7% | R+2.7 | — |
Montgomery has been trending Republican — 30pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
Contextual statewide polling for Illinois. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Raja Krishnamoorthi leads at 32.1%