
Safe Republican — shifted 3.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
8K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+57.3
TURNOUT
66.7%
#14 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$82K
COLLEGE+
18%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 94% non-Hispanic white (+37pp vs national)
Evangelical edge: 75pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 53.9pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.