
Safe Republican — shifted 8.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
46K
COMPETITIVENESS
Likely R
2024 PRES
R+18.8
TURNOUT
68.3%
#71 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$67K
COLLEGE+
22%
Place Story
Leans Republican since 2016
Demographically distinctive: 89% non-Hispanic white (+32pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 38.9pp ahead of Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Contextual statewide polling for Iowa. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Rob Sand leads at 50.0%