Estill County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 6.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(9) | 96.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 0.9% |
Black / African American | 0.1% |
▶Asian(3) | 1.0% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 32.3% | 85.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.9% | 10.2% |
| Other | 1.3% | 3.4% |
| Catholic | 0.4% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 62.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+63.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+57.3 |
| 2016 | Trump+56.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+46.2 |
| 2008 | McCain+40.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+31.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+30.6 |
| 1996 | Dole+11.2 |
| 1992 | Bush+12.2 |
Estill, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 14,035. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+63.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.7% | 80.9% | R+63.2 | R+6.0 |
| 2020 | 20.7% | 78.0% | R+57.3 | R+0.9 |
| 2016 | 20.0% | 76.4% | R+56.4 | R+10.3 |
| 2012 | 26.2% | 72.3% | R+46.2 | R+6.1 |
| 2008 | 29.3% | 69.3% | R+40.1 | R+9.1 |
| 2004 | 34.2% | 65.2% | R+31.0 | R+0.3 |
| 2000 | 33.8% | 64.4% | R+30.6 | R+19.5 |
| 1996 | 38.7% | 49.9% | R+11.2 | D+1.1 |
| 1992 | 36.5% | 48.7% | R+12.2 | D+16.7 |
| 1988 | 35.3% | 64.2% | R+28.9 | D+8.6 |
| 1984 | 31.1% | 68.6% | R+37.5 | R+19.9 |
| 1980 | 40.4% | 58.0% | R+17.6 | R+12.5 |
| 1976 | 47.1% | 52.2% | R+5.0 | D+34.4 |
| 1972 | 30.1% | 69.4% | R+39.4 | R+16.0 |
| 1968 | 30.2% | 53.6% | R+23.4 | R+26.0 |
| 1964 | 51.3% | 48.7% | D+2.7 | D+32.4 |
| 1960 | 35.1% | 64.9% | R+29.7 | R+8.5 |
| 1956 | 39.3% | 60.5% | R+21.2 | R+5.2 |
| 1952 | 41.8% | 57.8% | R+16.0 | R+13.1 |
| 1948 | 47.9% | 50.8% | R+2.9 | — |
What defines Estill?
Estill has been trending Republican — 17pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 63.2% margin
- Shifted 17.1 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Estill sits inside these higher-level geographies.