How did Richmond-Berea, KY vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Richmond-Berea, KY voted Republican in 2024 with a margin of R+39.8. Kamala D Harris received 17,280 votes and Donald Trump received 40,856 out of 59,202 total votes cast, a 3.9-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Richmond-Berea, KY's political history?

Richmond-Berea, KY has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Republican in every presidential election since 1968. The largest single-election swing was 35.7 points in 1976.

What are the demographics of Richmond-Berea, KY?

Richmond-Berea, KY has a population of 125,967 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 89.6% non-Hispanic white, 3.0% Hispanic, 3.1% Black. About 29% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $59,355.

Which places are most similar to Richmond-Berea, KY?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar metro areas to Richmond-Berea, KY are Springfield, MO, Terre Haute, IN, Cookeville, TN. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Richmond-Berea, KY

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.9 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 126K residents — 3 counties

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Race & ancestry

Group	%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	89.6%
▶Hispanic / Latino(11)	3.0%
▶Black / African American(9)	3.1%
▶Asian(5)	0.8%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.1%
Multiracial / Other	3.5%

View full demographics →

Religious adherence

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	31.6%	80.9%
Mainline Protestant	2.9%	7.5%
Catholic	2.0%	5.1%
Other	1.7%	4.4%
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	2.4%
Black Protestant	0.8%	2.1%
Non-religious	60.9%	—

View full religion →

Presidential results

Year	Result
2024	Trump+39.8
2020	Trump+36.0
2016	Trump+39.2
2012	Romney+35.6
2008	McCain+29.0
2004	Bush+29.7
2000	Bush+25.7
1996	Dole+12.5
1992	Bush+11.7

View full election history →

Richmond-Berea, KY is a metro area that has a population of 125,967. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+39.8. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.

Richmond-Berea, KY Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
Year	Dem %	Rep %	Margin	Swing
2024	29.2%	69.0%	R+39.8	R+3.9
2020	31.0%	67.0%	R+36.0	D+3.3
2016	27.9%	67.1%	R+39.2	R+3.6
2012	31.2%	66.9%	R+35.6	R+6.7
2008	34.8%	63.8%	R+29.0	D+0.7
2004	34.8%	64.5%	R+29.7	R+4.0
2000	35.9%	61.6%	R+25.7	R+13.2
1996	39.1%	51.5%	R+12.5	R+0.8
1992	36.9%	48.6%	R+11.7	D+16.7
1988	35.5%	63.8%	R+28.3	D+6.6
1984	32.3%	67.2%	R+35.0	R+23.0
1980	41.9%	53.9%	R+11.9	R+8.9
1976	47.9%	50.9%	R+3.0	D+35.7
1972	30.0%	68.7%	R+38.7	R+16.3
1968	29.1%	51.5%	R+22.4	R+30.1
1964	53.7%	46.0%	D+7.7	D+31.7
1960	38.0%	62.0%	R+24.1	R+6.6
1956	41.0%	58.5%	R+17.5	R+3.9
1952	43.0%	56.7%	R+13.6	R+6.6
1948	45.8%	52.8%	R+7.0	—

Political Identity

What defines Richmond-Berea, KY?

Richmond-Berea, KY voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar metro areas

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Springfield, MO

Small-town rural republican 2

R+35.2

Similarity score90%

Terre Haute, IN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+32.1

Similarity score89%

Cookeville, TN

Small-town rural republican 3

R+55.5

Similarity score88%

Hays, KS

Educated rural competitive

R+45.9

Similarity score88%

Rolla, MO

Small-town rural republican 3

R+42.9

Similarity score88%

Murray, KY

Educated rural competitive

R+37.9

Similarity score87%

Corbin, KY

Small-town rural republican 3

R+71.2

Similarity score87%

Owensboro, KY

Small-town rural republican 2

R+34.1

Similarity score87%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Richmond-Berea, KY

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Madison	96K	R+30.9	15,180	29,130	45,188	76.3%
Rockcastle	16K	R+73.1	986	6,635	7,724	13.0%
Estill	14K	R+63.2	1,114	5,091	6,290	10.6%

3 countiesTotal votes: 59,202

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Richmond-Berea, KY's political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Richmond-Berea, KY metro area voted in presidential elections?”

Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.

Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 39.8% margin

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Richmond-Berea, KYCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 89.6%Multiracial 3.5%Black 3.1%Hispanic 3.0%Asian 0.8%

Group	Richmond-Berea, KY	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	89.6%	57.4%
Multiracial / Other	3.5%	4.0%
▶Black / African American(9)	3.1%	12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(11)	3.0%	19.3%
▶Asian(5)	0.8%	6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9)	0.2%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3)	0.1%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

39.1%(49.2K people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -80.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Evangelical Protestant	31.6%	80.9%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	2.9%	7.5%	—	—
Catholic	2.0%	5.1%	—	—
Other	1.7%	4.4%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.9%	2.4%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.8%	2.1%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	60.9%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Richmond-Berea, KY metro area? 125,967 residents across 3 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Richmond-Berea, KY vs National126K residents

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

126K

local

126KNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

0.04%

local

0.04%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

74.1%

local

74.1%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$59,355

local

$59,355National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.1%

local

17.1%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

29.3%

local

29.3%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

64.6%

local

64.6%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

36.8 yrs

local

36.8 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

20.5%

local

20.5%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

15.9%

local

15.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.1%

local

2.1%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

3.3%

local

3.3%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

96.7%

local

96.7%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Richmond-Berea, KY

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

63.4%

vs Previous

+1.0pp

Voting-Age Pop

93,350

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Richmond-Berea, KY?

Safe RAvg margin: R+38.3 (last 3 elections)

2008

R+29.0

2012

R+35.6

2016

R+39.2

2020

R+36.0

2024

R+39.8

Elasticity

10.9pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

R+35.9

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Richmond-Berea, KY split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (7/100)

2020 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Senate	R+36.0	R+30.9	5.0pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 16.1pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Richmond-Berea, KY sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Kentucky(State)

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