Fayette County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 66.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 9.5% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 14.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(9) | 1.3% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 23.7% | 48.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 8.9% | 18.3% |
| Catholic | 7.3% | 15.1% |
| Black Protestant | 4.5% | 9.4% |
| Other | 3.8% | 7.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.3% | 2.8% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.2% | 0.4% |
| Non-religious | 51.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+18.1 |
| 2020 | Biden+20.8 |
| 2016 | Clinton+9.4 |
| 2012 | Obama+1.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+4.8 |
| 2004 | Bush+6.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+6.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+0.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.8 |
Fayette, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 323,725. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+18.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 57.9% | 39.8% | D+18.1 | R+2.7 |
| 2020 | 59.2% | 38.5% | D+20.8 | D+11.3 |
| 2016 | 51.2% | 41.7% | D+9.4 | D+8.4 |
| 2012 | 49.3% | 48.3% | D+1.0 | R+3.8 |
| 2008 | 51.7% | 46.9% | D+4.8 | D+11.5 |
| 2004 | 46.2% | 52.9% | R+6.7 | D+0.1 |
| 2000 | 44.8% | 51.7% | R+6.8 | R+7.6 |
| 1996 | 47.1% | 46.3% | D+0.8 | D+4.5 |
| 1992 | 40.1% | 43.9% | R+3.8 | D+15.3 |
| 1988 | 39.9% | 59.0% | R+19.0 | D+9.1 |
| 1984 | 35.4% | 63.6% | R+28.2 | R+21.4 |
| 1980 | 42.5% | 49.2% | R+6.7 | D+4.3 |
| 1976 | 43.1% | 54.1% | R+11.0 | D+24.4 |
| 1972 | 31.1% | 66.5% | R+35.4 | R+19.4 |
| 1968 | 33.6% | 49.5% | R+16.0 | R+30.9 |
| 1964 | 57.3% | 42.4% | D+14.9 | D+35.8 |
| 1960 | 39.6% | 60.4% | R+20.9 | D+2.6 |
| 1956 | 38.0% | 61.4% | R+23.4 | R+13.7 |
| 1952 | 44.9% | 54.7% | R+9.8 | R+18.7 |
| 1948 | 52.5% | 43.6% | D+8.9 | — |
What defines Fayette?
Fayette has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (5D, 1R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a predominantly white, college-educated electorate that has shifted sharply toward Democrats in the Trump era.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- The 2012 election was decided by just 1.0 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2004
Located In
Fayette sits inside these higher-level geographies.