Jefferson County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 3.6pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 62.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 8.6% |
▶Black / African American(16) | 20.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 5.3% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 21.0% | 41.1% |
| Catholic | 14.2% | 27.8% |
| Black Protestant | 7.0% | 13.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.5% | 8.9% |
| Other | 4.0% | 7.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.3% | 0.7% |
| Non-religious | 48.9% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+16.5 |
| 2020 | Biden+20.1 |
| 2016 | Clinton+13.3 |
| 2012 | Obama+11.1 |
| 2008 | Obama+12.0 |
| 2004 | Kerry+1.7 |
| 2000 | Gore+1.6 |
| 1996 | Clinton+10.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.7 |
Jefferson, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 783,022. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+16.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 57.3% | 40.8% | D+16.5 | R+3.6 |
| 2020 | 59.1% | 39.0% | D+20.1 | D+6.8 |
| 2016 | 54.0% | 40.7% | D+13.3 | D+2.2 |
| 2012 | 54.7% | 43.6% | D+11.1 | R+0.9 |
| 2008 | 55.3% | 43.4% | D+12.0 | D+10.3 |
| 2004 | 50.4% | 48.8% | D+1.7 | D+0.1 |
| 2000 | 49.6% | 48.0% | D+1.6 | R+8.9 |
| 1996 | 51.5% | 41.0% | D+10.5 | R+1.2 |
| 1992 | 49.3% | 37.6% | D+11.7 | D+16.1 |
| 1988 | 47.6% | 52.0% | R+4.4 | D+11.3 |
| 1984 | 42.0% | 57.7% | R+15.7 | R+15.1 |
| 1980 | 47.4% | 48.0% | R+0.5 | D+2.4 |
| 1976 | 47.3% | 50.2% | R+2.9 | D+20.1 |
| 1972 | 37.4% | 60.4% | R+23.0 | R+20.5 |
| 1968 | 40.5% | 43.1% | R+2.6 | R+31.1 |
| 1964 | 64.1% | 35.5% | D+28.6 | D+29.1 |
| 1960 | 49.7% | 50.3% | R+0.6 | D+17.0 |
| 1956 | 40.9% | 58.5% | R+17.6 | R+8.0 |
| 1952 | 45.0% | 54.6% | R+9.6 | R+10.4 |
| 1948 | 49.3% | 48.5% | D+0.8 | — |
What defines Jefferson?
It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the urban swing demographic that decides close elections.
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Turnout decreased by 5.5 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Located In
Jefferson sits inside these higher-level geographies.