Metcalfe County, Kentucky
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 93.5% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(2) | 2.8% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 2.5% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.2% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 53.6% | 81.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.7% | 8.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 4.8% | 7.3% |
| Other | 4.8% | 7.3% |
| Black Protestant | 1.0% | 1.5% |
| Catholic | 0.6% | 0.9% |
| Non-religious | 34.4% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+64.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+59.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+54.4 |
| 2012 | Romney+29.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+33.0 |
| 2004 | Bush+28.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+30.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+8.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+0.5 |
Metcalfe, Kentucky is a county that has a population of 10,425. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+64.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17.2% | 81.9% | R+64.6 | R+5.1 |
| 2020 | 19.5% | 79.0% | R+59.5 | R+5.1 |
| 2016 | 21.1% | 75.6% | R+54.4 | R+24.5 |
| 2012 | 34.1% | 64.0% | R+29.9 | D+3.1 |
| 2008 | 32.2% | 65.1% | R+33.0 | R+4.7 |
| 2004 | 35.4% | 63.6% | R+28.2 | D+1.9 |
| 2000 | 34.2% | 64.3% | R+30.1 | R+21.1 |
| 1996 | 39.9% | 48.9% | R+8.9 | R+9.5 |
| 1992 | 44.7% | 44.1% | D+0.5 | D+12.6 |
| 1988 | 43.6% | 55.7% | R+12.1 | D+7.5 |
| 1984 | 39.9% | 59.6% | R+19.6 | R+9.2 |
| 1980 | 43.9% | 54.3% | R+10.4 | R+26.3 |
| 1976 | 57.5% | 41.5% | D+15.9 | D+34.1 |
| 1972 | 40.4% | 58.6% | R+18.2 | D+0.4 |
| 1968 | 32.9% | 51.4% | R+18.6 | R+39.8 |
| 1964 | 60.5% | 39.3% | D+21.2 | D+37.3 |
| 1960 | 42.0% | 58.0% | R+16.0 | R+7.1 |
| 1956 | 45.4% | 54.3% | R+9.0 | R+0.9 |
| 1952 | 45.8% | 53.9% | R+8.1 | R+9.4 |
| 1948 | 50.3% | 49.0% | D+1.3 | — |
What defines Metcalfe?
Metcalfe has been trending Republican — 35pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
Ask the Historian
Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 64.6% margin
- Shifted 34.7 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Metcalfe sits inside these higher-level geographies.