Bowling Green
Safe Republican — shifted 6.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 241K residents — 6 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 5.6% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 6.5% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 35.9% | 74.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 5.2% | 10.7% |
| Catholic | 4.6% | 9.5% |
| Other | 2.2% | 4.4% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.3% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.3% |
| Non-religious | 51.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+39.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+33.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+37.5 |
| 2012 | Romney+27.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+26.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+30.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+27.7 |
| 1996 | Dole+12.8 |
| 1992 | Bush+7.5 |
Bowling Green is a media market that has a population of 240,632. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+39.5. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29.5% | 69.1% | R+39.5 | R+6.2 |
| 2020 | 32.4% | 65.8% | R+33.4 | D+4.2 |
| 2016 | 28.9% | 66.4% | R+37.5 | R+9.6 |
| 2012 | 35.3% | 63.2% | R+27.9 | R+1.8 |
| 2008 | 36.3% | 62.4% | R+26.1 | D+4.4 |
| 2004 | 34.4% | 64.9% | R+30.5 | R+2.9 |
| 2000 | 35.4% | 63.1% | R+27.7 | R+14.8 |
| 1996 | 39.7% | 52.5% | R+12.8 | R+5.4 |
| 1992 | 40.2% | 47.7% | R+7.5 | D+16.0 |
| 1988 | 38.0% | 61.5% | R+23.5 | D+7.6 |
| 1984 | 34.2% | 65.4% | R+31.1 | R+16.7 |
| 1980 | 41.6% | 56.0% | R+14.5 | R+20.4 |
| 1976 | 52.5% | 46.6% | D+5.9 | D+39.2 |
| 1972 | 32.6% | 65.9% | R+33.3 | R+12.8 |
| 1968 | 29.2% | 49.7% | R+20.5 | R+40.4 |
| 1964 | 59.8% | 39.9% | D+19.9 | D+36.1 |
| 1960 | 41.9% | 58.1% | R+16.2 | R+6.5 |
| 1956 | 45.1% | 54.7% | R+9.7 | R+2.9 |
| 1952 | 46.5% | 53.3% | R+6.8 | R+14.1 |
| 1948 | 52.3% | 45.0% | D+7.3 | — |
What defines Bowling Green?
Bowling Green voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Counties in Bowling Green
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 39.5% margin
- College attainment is 25% — 8pp below the national average. Similar education levels correlate with Republican lean nationally
Who Lives Here
| Group | Bowling Green | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 80.4% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(9) | 6.5% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(16) | 5.6% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.5% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.3% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(8) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(1) | 0.4% | 0.2% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -69.0pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 35.9% | 74.0% | — | — | |
| 5.2% | 10.7% | — | — | |
| 4.6% | 9.5% | — | — | |
| 2.2% | 4.4% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.1% | 2.3% | — | — |
| 0.6% | 1.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 51.4% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Bowling Green media market? 240,632 residents across 6 counties.
Demographics
25% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp below the national average. Places with similar education levels vote R+9 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Bowling Green
How competitive is Bowling Green?
Do voters in Bowling Green split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+33.4 | R+26.2 | 7.2pp |