Leans Republican — shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
113K
COMPETITIVENESS
Lean R
2024 PRES
R+6.1
TURNOUT
68.6%
#15 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$68K
COLLEGE+
23%
Place Story
Leans Republican since 2016
Competitive with a modest baseline — persuasion matters on the margin.
Demographically distinctive: 87% non-Hispanic white (+30pp vs national)
Catholic edge: 51pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 62.0pp behind Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Contextual statewide polling for Maine. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Graham Platner leads at 48.0%