Portland-Auburn
Leans Democratic — 1.1M residents — 11 counties
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.4% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 2.3% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 2.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.6% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 16.8% | 54.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 5.5% | 17.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.7% | 15.0% |
| Other | 3.8% | 12.3% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 2.4% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.4% |
| Black Protestant | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 69.0% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+12.4 |
| 2020 | Biden+14.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+7.1 |
| 2012 | Obama+17.9 |
| 2008 | Obama+20.5 |
| 2004 | Kerry+10.7 |
| 2000 | Gore+6.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+20.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+8.4 |
Portland-Auburn is a media market that has a population of 1,052,919. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+12.4. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55.2% | 42.7% | D+12.4 | R+2.1 |
| 2020 | 55.9% | 41.3% | D+14.5 | D+7.4 |
| 2016 | 49.9% | 42.8% | D+7.1 | R+10.8 |
| 2012 | 57.3% | 39.4% | D+17.9 | R+2.6 |
| 2008 | 59.3% | 38.8% | D+20.5 | D+9.9 |
| 2004 | 54.4% | 43.8% | D+10.7 | D+3.8 |
| 2000 | 50.0% | 43.2% | D+6.9 | R+13.8 |
| 1996 | 52.0% | 31.4% | D+20.7 | D+12.2 |
| 1992 | 39.6% | 31.2% | D+8.4 | D+21.8 |
| 1988 | 42.9% | 56.3% | R+13.4 | D+8.5 |
| 1984 | 38.9% | 60.7% | R+21.9 | R+17.8 |
| 1980 | 41.8% | 45.9% | R+4.1 | R+4.8 |
| 1976 | 49.0% | 48.3% | D+0.7 | D+22.0 |
| 1972 | 39.2% | 60.6% | R+21.3 | R+36.2 |
| 1968 | 56.7% | 41.8% | D+14.9 | R+24.9 |
| 1964 | 69.9% | 30.1% | D+39.8 | D+48.6 |
| 1960 | 45.6% | 54.4% | R+8.8 | D+28.4 |
| 1956 | 31.4% | 68.6% | R+37.1 | R+8.9 |
| 1952 | 35.9% | 64.1% | R+28.2 | R+18.0 |
| 1948 | 44.4% | 54.7% | R+10.2 | — |
What defines Portland-Auburn?
Portland-Auburn voted solidly Democratic in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Counties in Portland-Auburn
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cumberland | 309K | D+35.3 | 127,971 | 59,964 | 192,656 | 30.3% |
| York | 217K | D+10.5 | 72,114 | 58,194 | 132,838 | 20.9% |
| Kennebec | 127K | R+2.8 | 34,585 | 36,589 | 72,886 | 11.5% |
| Androscoggin | 113K | R+6.1 | 27,019 | 30,605 | 58,847 | 9.3% |
| Oxford | 59K | R+12.9 | 14,765 | 19,228 | 34,590 | 5.4% |
| Carroll | 52K | R+1.7 | 16,822 | 17,426 | 34,658 | 5.4% |
| Knox | 41K | D+18.6 | 15,076 | 10,262 | 25,893 | 4.1% |
| Sagadahoc | 37K | D+16.6 | 13,982 | 9,917 | 24,456 | 3.8% |
| Lincoln | 36K | D+11.3 | 13,110 | 10,409 | 24,003 | 3.8% |
| Coos | 31K | R+13.7 | 7,367 | 9,734 | 17,322 | 2.7% |
| Franklin | 30K | R+8.2 | 7,990 | 9,459 | 17,836 | 2.8% |
Ask the Historian
Key Insights
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Governor
Who Lives Here
| Group | Portland-Auburn | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 89.4% | 57.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% | 4.0% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 2.3% | 19.3% |
▶Black / African American(15) | 2.1% | 12.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 1.3% | 6.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.6% | 0.9% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% | 0.9% |
Religious Adherents
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +32.1pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16.8% | 54.3% | — | — | |
| 5.5% | 17.6% | — | — | |
| 4.7% | 15.0% | — | — | |
| 3.8% | 12.3% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.7% | 2.4% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.4% | — | — | |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 69.0% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Portland-Auburn media market? 1,052,919 residents across 11 counties.
Demographics
39% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 6pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+8 on average nationally.
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Turnout in Portland-Auburn
How competitive is Portland-Auburn?
Do voters in Portland-Auburn split their tickets?
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+21.9 | R+16.5 | 38.4pp |
| President vs Governor | D+12.4 | R+16.5 | 28.9pp |
| President vs Senate | D+12.4 | D+21.9 | 9.5pp |