
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 50.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(11) | 4.6% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 38.8% |
▶Asian(3) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(2) | 0.4% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.8% |
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Mainline Protestant | 11.1% | 49.0% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.9% | 34.8% |
| Black Protestant | 2.1% | 9.3% |
| Other | 1.1% | 5.0% |
| Catholic | 0.4% | 1.8% |
| Non-religious | 77.4% | — |
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+17.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.8 |
| 2016 | Trump+11.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+1.9 |
| 2008 | McCain+2.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+9.4 |
| 2000 | Gore+2.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+8.9 |
| 1992 | Bush+3.0 |
Somerset, Maryland is a county that has a population of 24,822. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+17.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 40.0% | 57.3% | R+17.3 | R+2.5 |
| 2020 | 41.8% | 56.6% | R+14.8 | R+3.1 |
| 2016 | 42.9% | 54.6% | R+11.7 | R+13.6 |
| 2012 | 50.4% | 48.5% | D+1.9 | D+4.5 |
| 2008 | 48.2% | 50.8% | R+2.6 | D+6.8 |
| 2004 | 44.9% | 54.3% | R+9.4 | R+11.8 |
| 2000 | 49.8% | 47.5% | D+2.3 | R+6.6 |
| 1996 | 49.6% | 40.7% | D+8.9 | D+11.9 |
| 1992 | 40.4% | 43.5% | R+3.0 | D+15.3 |
| 1988 | 40.6% | 58.9% | R+18.3 | D+11.4 |
| 1984 | 35.0% | 64.7% | R+29.7 | R+30.1 |
| 1980 | 48.2% | 47.7% | D+0.4 | R+2.8 |
| 1976 | 51.6% | 48.4% | D+3.2 | D+39.0 |
| 1972 | 31.6% | 67.3% | R+35.8 | R+28.5 |
| 1968 | 32.9% | 40.1% | R+7.2 | R+25.1 |
| 1964 | 58.9% | 41.1% | D+17.9 | D+18.9 |
| 1960 | 49.5% | 50.5% | R+1.0 | D+21.3 |
| 1956 | 38.9% | 61.1% | R+22.3 | R+20.3 |
| 1952 | 48.8% | 50.8% | R+2.0 | R+1.7 |
| 1948 | 49.4% | 49.7% | R+0.3 | — |
Somerset has been trending Republican — 19pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a plurality-minority electorate (49% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.