
Safe Democratic — shifted 3.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
232K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe D
2024 PRES
D+20.6
TURNOUT
75.9%
#1 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$95K
COLLEGE+
48%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 85% non-Hispanic white (+28pp vs national)
Catholic edge: 59pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 94.0pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.