How did Boston (Manchester) vote in the 2024 presidential election?

Boston (Manchester) voted Democratic in 2024 with a margin of D+22.8. Kamala D Harris received 2,110,672 votes and Donald Trump received 1,310,042 out of 3,510,431 total votes cast, a 7.7-point shift toward Republicans from 2020.

What is Boston (Manchester)'s political history?

Boston (Manchester) has 40 presidential elections on record, spanning 1868 to 2024. It has voted Democratic in every presidential election since 1988. The largest single-election swing was 39.9 points in 1896.

What are the demographics of Boston (Manchester)?

Boston (Manchester) has a population of 6,858,450 according to the 2020 Census. The racial composition is 69.0% non-Hispanic white, 11.5% Hispanic, 6.2% Black. About 49% of residents hold a bachelor's degree or higher. Median household income is $111,018.

Which places are most similar to Boston (Manchester)?

Based on demographic and electoral similarity analysis, the three most similar media markets to Boston (Manchester) are Washington, DC (Hagerstown), Providence-New Bedford, Philadelphia. Similarity is computed using a vector embedding of demographic, economic, and electoral characteristics.

Boston (Manchester)

Latest: 2024↓ R+7.7 vs 2020

Safe Democratic — shifted 7.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 6.9M residents — 16 counties

Ask Historian Open in Explore CompareShare image

TV HOMES
2.4M
MARKET RANK
#7
COUNTIES
16
PRES MARGIN
D+22.8

Place Story

What defines Boston (Manchester)

Methodology

Reliably Democratic since 1988
- Safe D
- 10 straight D wins
Mobilization target, not persuasion target.
Biggest swing: R+39.9 in 1896
- 1892 → 1896
Volatile behavior — treat historical margins with caution.
Catholic edge: 64pp over Evangelicals
- 72% Catholic / 8% Evangelical
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 63.4pp ahead of Governor
- Divergence 63.4pp in 2020
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 49% college+ (+13pp vs national)
- 49% college+ (+13pp vs national)

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer

Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.

8 visible matches

Washington, DC (Hagerstown)

Educated rural democratic

D+32.2

Similarity score95%

Providence-New Bedford

Educated rural competitive

D+9.3

Similarity score94%

Philadelphia

Educated rural competitive

D+20.2

Similarity score93%

Denver

Educated rural competitive

D+15.6

Similarity score93%

Albany-Schenectady-Troy

Educated rural competitive

D+7.6

Similarity score92%

Portland, OR

Educated rural competitive

D+18.1

Similarity score91%

Chicago

Educated rural democratic

D+23.1

Similarity score91%

San Francisco-Oakland-San Jose

Educated rural democratic

D+47.6

Similarity score90%

Constituent Geography

Counties in Boston (Manchester)

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.

Sort:

County	Pop.	Margin	Dem	Rep	Total	Share
Middlesex	1.6M	D+39.2	554,471	235,118	814,832	23.2%
Worcester	868K	D+9.9	225,680	183,802	420,841	12.0%
Essex	813K	D+20.2	236,624	155,336	401,851	11.4%
Suffolk	785K	D+52.1	222,280	66,480	299,193	8.5%
Norfolk	730K	D+28.5	242,712	132,497	386,447	11.0%
Plymouth	535K	D+8.8	159,962	133,544	300,129	8.5%
Hillsborough	426K	D+2.9	118,776	112,057	234,440	6.7%
Rockingham	319K	R+2.4	97,611	102,539	202,922	5.8%
Barnstable	232K	D+20.6	88,129	57,451	148,785	4.2%
Merrimack	156K	D+5.2	48,181	43,364	92,978	2.6%
Strafford	133K	D+12.0	42,373	33,162	76,688	2.2%
Cheshire	77K	D+9.9	24,579	20,083	45,389	1.3%
Belknap	65K	R+13.0	17,469	22,765	40,676	1.2%
Windham	46K	D+42.3	17,904	6,928	25,933	0.7%
Dukes	21K	D+52.4	9,137	2,745	12,209	0.3%
Nantucket	14K	D+36.7	4,784	2,171	7,118	0.2%

16 countiesTotal votes: 3,510,431

Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Boston (Manchester)'s political evolution with the Historian

“How has the Boston (Manchester) media market voted in presidential elections?”

Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.

Boston (Manchester)Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available

Census race profile

Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.

Expand rows for ancestry detail

White (Non-Hispanic) 69.0%Hispanic 11.5%Asian 7.4%Black 6.2%Multiracial 5.6%

Group	Boston (Manchester)	National
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)	69.0%	57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)	11.5%	19.3%
▶Asian(6)	7.4%	6.0%
▶Black / African American(16)	6.2%	12.2%
Multiracial / Other	5.6%	4.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)	1.5%	0.9%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1)	0.2%	0.9%

Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:

46.3%(3.2M people)

U.S. Religion Census 2020

Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +59.3pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition	% Pop	% Adherents	US Pop	US Adherents
Catholic	33.3%	71.9%	—	—
Other	4.8%	10.3%	—	—
Evangelical Protestant	3.8%	8.1%	—	—
Mainline Protestant	3.4%	7.4%	—	—
Orthodox Christian	0.9%	1.9%	—	—
LDS (Mormon)	0.5%	1.0%	—	—
Black Protestant	0.2%	0.5%	—	—
Non-religiousPopulation	53.7%	—	—	—

Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Boston (Manchester) media market? 6,858,450 residents across 16 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.

Boston (Manchester) vs National6.9M residents

49% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 16pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population

Local vs state vs U.S.

6.9M

local

6.9MNational 334.9M

Share of U.S. population

Local vs state vs U.S.

2.05%

local

2.05%National 100%

Voting-age population

Local vs state vs U.S.

77.6%

local

77.6%National 75.7%

Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income

Local vs state vs U.S.

$111,018

local

$111,018National $83,960

Poverty rate

Local vs state vs U.S.

8.9%

local

8.9%National 12.5%

College degree

Local vs state vs U.S.

48.9%

local

48.9%National 35.6%

Homeownership

Local vs state vs U.S.

64.0%

local

64.0%National 65.2%

Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age

Local vs state vs U.S.

40.6 yrs

local

40.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs

Age 18–29

Local vs state vs U.S.

16.4%

local

16.4%National 15.7%

Age 65+

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.9%

local

17.9%National 17.0%

Foreign born

Local vs state vs U.S.

17.5%

local

17.5%National 14.1%

Non-English at home

Local vs state vs U.S.

23.1%

local

23.1%National 22.2%

English only

Local vs state vs U.S.

76.9%

local

76.9%National 77.8%

Voter Turnout

Turnout in Boston (Manchester)

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.

2024 Turnout

65.9%

vs Previous

-2.4pp

Voting-Age Pop

5,324,171

History

1988–2024

Competitiveness

How competitive is Boston (Manchester)?

Safe DAvg margin: D+25.4 (last 3 elections)

2008

D+21.4

2012

D+18.2

2016

D+23.1

2020

D+30.5

2024

D+22.8

Elasticity

12.2pp

margin range

Party Flips

last 30 years

5-Elec Avg

D+23.2

Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Boston (Manchester) split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.

ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)

2024 Office Comparisons

Offices	Margin A	Margin B	Split
President vs Governor	D+22.8	R+11.0	33.8pp
Senate vs Governor	D+21.6	R+11.0	32.7pp
President vs Senate	D+22.8	D+21.6	1.2pp

Average divergence across office pairs: 25.9pp

Containing Geography

Located In

Boston (Manchester) sits inside these higher-level geographies.

Massachusetts(State)New Hampshire(State)Vermont(State)

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