Safe Republican — shifted 4.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
16K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+30.8
TURNOUT
78.5%
#28 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$61K
COLLEGE+
20%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 93% non-Hispanic white (+35pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 33.2pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.