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Minneapolis-St. Paul

Minneapolis-St. Paul

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.0 vs 2020

Leans Democratic — shifted 3.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 4.9M residents — 57 counties

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  • TV HOMES

    1.7M

  • MARKET RANK

    #15

  • COUNTIES

    57

  • PRES MARGIN

    D+5.5

Place Story

What defines Minneapolis-St. Paul

Methodology

Constituent Counties

Open in Cartographer
Similarity Explorer

Similar media markets

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Minneapolis-St. Paul

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Hennepin1.3M
D+42.4
502,710197,244720,17325.6%
Ramsey543K
D+43.1
195,16875,284278,0259.9%
Dakota446K
D+12.8
143,267109,995259,8059.2%
Anoka370K
R+4.4
97,667106,974210,4817.5%
Washington276K
D+8.9
90,32475,271169,5366.0%
Stearns161K
R+26.7
30,82953,93286,6323.1%
Scott155K
R+8.5
40,21447,83790,1413.2%
Wright148K
R+29.2
30,88357,21190,0413.2%
Carver110K
R+5.4
31,86935,58669,1602.5%
Sherburne101K
R+34.8
18,32938,49157,9602.1%
St. Croix96K
R+19.2
23,87035,53760,6422.2%
Rice68K
R+2.5
17,35318,26436,4121.3%
Crow Wing68K
R+31.3
14,17327,42342,3661.5%
Chisago58K
R+31.3
11,89423,04735,6011.3%
Goodhue48K
R+16.4
11,73116,46128,8171.0%
Barron47K
R+29.0
8,94116,72626,8091.0%
Beltrami47K
R+5.7
11,49312,89824,8740.9%
Polk46K
R+30.9
9,56718,29628,2221.0%
Dunn46K
R+15.9
10,64314,72625,6780.9%
Kandiyohi44K
R+30.9
7,81415,01423,2830.8%
Isanti43K
R+41.1
7,38418,02725,9180.9%
Pierce43K
R+16.7
10,17114,41725,3920.9%
Benton42K
R+35.8
7,08415,26022,8240.8%
Douglas40K
R+35.0
7,93816,72625,1060.9%
Steele37K
R+24.4
7,65012,74220,8720.7%
Mcleod37K
R+37.8
6,37414,39421,1990.8%
Morrison34K
R+55.9
4,30615,66620,3130.7%
Cass31K
R+33.4
6,30012,75919,3630.7%
Pine30K
R+35.1
5,33911,27416,9110.6%
Le Sueur29K
R+33.6
5,63611,50317,4690.6%
Mille Lacs27K
R+40.8
4,37410,57015,1900.5%
Todd26K
R+53.4
3,07210,39213,7180.5%
Lyon26K
R+31.7
4,2848,40012,9900.5%
Meeker23K
R+42.7
3,8029,64513,6940.5%
Hubbard22K
R+31.4
4,5368,80913,6170.5%
Wabasha22K
R+28.1
4,7218,52313,5090.5%
Waseca19K
R+32.4
3,4026,77010,3870.4%
Burnett17K
R+30.9
3,6657,00810,8100.4%
Washburn17K
R+28.2
3,8676,96210,9780.4%
Kanabec16K
R+42.3
2,7186,8189,7030.3%
Aitkin16K
R+30.8
3,5246,74110,4460.4%
Redwood15K
R+43.2
2,3005,8958,3260.3%
Sibley15K
R+42.9
2,3516,0148,5370.3%
Renville15K
R+41.3
2,2805,6108,0580.3%
Wadena14K
R+51.3
1,8986,0288,0470.3%
Faribault14K
R+37.3
2,3525,2477,7610.3%
Chippewa12K
R+34.0
2,0264,1756,3180.2%
Cottonwood11K
R+41.0
1,7054,1575,9880.2%
Pope11K
R+31.6
2,3984,6777,2180.3%
Jackson10K
R+42.0
1,5813,9495,6440.2%
Swift10K
R+34.1
1,6183,3405,0540.2%
Stevens10K
R+27.0
1,8273,2135,1390.2%
Yellow Medicine9K
R+40.5
1,5483,7385,4100.2%
Lac Qui Parle7K
R+32.2
1,3142,6003,9960.1%
Grant6K
R+30.4
1,1872,2663,5430.1%
Big Stone5K
R+29.5
9641,7962,8240.1%
Traverse3K
R+31.5
5971,1651,8020.1%
57 countiesTotal votes: 2,808,732
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Minneapolis-St. Paul's political evolution with the Historian
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Minneapolis-St. PaulCensus ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 74.9%Black 7.6%Hispanic 6.4%Asian 5.6%Multiracial 4.7%Native American 0.8%
GroupMinneapolis-St. PaulNational
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
74.9%57.4%
▶Black / African American(14)
7.6%12.2%
▶Hispanic / Latino(20)
6.4%19.3%
▶Asian(6)
5.6%6.0%
Multiracial / Other
4.7%4.0%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4)
0.8%0.9%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10)
0.5%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
48.2%(2.4M people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: +12.8pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.

Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Catholic
19.7%40.8%——
Mainline Protestant
12.3%25.5%——
Evangelical Protestant
11.3%23.5%——
Other
4.3%8.9%——
LDS (Mormon)
0.5%1.1%——
Black Protestant
0.4%0.8%——
Orthodox Christian
0.2%0.5%——
Non-religiousPopulation
51.8%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.
Explore Catholic adherence nationally

Who lives in the Minneapolis-St. Paul media market? 4,908,264 residents across 57 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Minneapolis-St. Paul vs National4.9M residents

41% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 8pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+16 on average nationally.

Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
4.9M
local
4.9MNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
1.47%
local
1.47%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
74.9%
local
74.9%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$93,531
local
$93,531National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
8.9%
local
8.9%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
40.5%
local
40.5%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
72.1%
local
72.1%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
38.9 yrs
local
38.9 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
14.9%
local
14.9%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
16.8%
local
16.8%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
9.2%
local
9.2%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
13.0%
local
13.0%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
87.0%
local
87.0%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Minneapolis-St. Paul

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
76.4%
vs Previous
-0.3pp
Voting-Age Pop
3,677,575
History
1988–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Minneapolis-St. Paul?

Lean DAvg margin: D+5.6 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+9.5
2012
D+7.0
2016
D+2.9
2020
D+8.5
2024
D+5.5
Elasticity
6.6pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
D+6.7
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Minneapolis-St. Paul split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyHeavy splitting (37/100)
2024 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
President vs SenateD+5.5D+15.810.3pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 11.9pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Minneapolis-St. Paul sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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