Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
58K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+31.3
TURNOUT
82.2%
#5 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$99K
COLLEGE+
24%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 90% non-Hispanic white (+32pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 35.1pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Catholic edge: 15pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.