Safe Republican — shifted 3.9pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
6K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+30.4
TURNOUT
76.7%
#35 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$74K
COLLEGE+
21%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 92% non-Hispanic white (+35pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 37.6pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 19pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.