Safe Republican — shifted 3.3pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
29K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+33.6
TURNOUT
79.1%
#23 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$95K
COLLEGE+
26%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 89% non-Hispanic white (+32pp vs national)
Catholic edge: 41pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 39.0pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.