Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
37K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+37.8
TURNOUT
75.6%
#45 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$80K
COLLEGE+
20%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 88% non-Hispanic white (+31pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 43.8pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 14pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.