Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
23K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+42.7
TURNOUT
78.0%
#29 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$75K
COLLEGE+
20%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 92% non-Hispanic white (+35pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 40.0pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Catholic edge: 12pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.