Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
34K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+55.9
TURNOUT
78.8%
#26 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$69K
COLLEGE+
19%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 94% non-Hispanic white (+37pp vs national)
Catholic edge: 55pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 43.9pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.