Nobles County, Minnesota
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 39 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 52.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 34.5% |
▶Black / African American(6) | 5.2% |
▶Asian(6) | 4.2% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 3.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 0.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 29.4% | 45.3% |
| Mainline Protestant | 18.8% | 28.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.3% | 18.9% |
| Other | 3.2% | 4.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.5% | 2.2% |
| Orthodox Christian | 1.4% | 2.1% |
| Non-religious | 35.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+35.5 |
| 2020 | Trump+30.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+29.7 |
| 2012 | Romney+9.3 |
| 2008 | McCain+1.4 |
| 2004 | Bush+13.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+11.3 |
| 1996 | Clinton+3.7 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.1 |
Nobles, Minnesota is a county that has a population of 22,041. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+35.5. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31.4% | 67.0% | R+35.5 | R+4.9 |
| 2020 | 33.7% | 64.3% | R+30.6 | R+0.9 |
| 2016 | 31.7% | 61.4% | R+29.7 | R+20.5 |
| 2012 | 44.5% | 53.8% | R+9.3 | R+7.8 |
| 2008 | 48.2% | 49.6% | R+1.4 | D+12.3 |
| 2004 | 42.4% | 56.1% | R+13.7 | R+2.4 |
| 2000 | 42.4% | 53.7% | R+11.3 | R+15.1 |
| 1996 | 45.3% | 41.6% | D+3.7 | D+1.6 |
| 1992 | 37.8% | 35.7% | D+2.1 | R+4.4 |
| 1988 | 52.7% | 46.3% | D+6.4 | D+9.1 |
| 1984 | 48.1% | 50.8% | R+2.7 | R+2.7 |
| 1980 | 45.4% | 45.4% | Even | R+14.3 |
| 1976 | 56.2% | 41.9% | D+14.3 | D+9.4 |
| 1972 | 51.9% | 47.0% | D+4.9 | R+2.3 |
| 1968 | 51.2% | 44.0% | D+7.1 | R+22.1 |
| 1964 | 64.6% | 35.3% | D+29.3 | D+35.8 |
| 1960 | 46.7% | 53.2% | R+6.5 | D+6.1 |
| 1956 | 43.7% | 56.2% | R+12.6 | D+18.2 |
| 1952 | 34.5% | 65.2% | R+30.8 | R+53.3 |
| 1948 | 60.7% | 38.2% | D+22.5 | — |
What defines Nobles?
Nobles has been trending Republican — 26pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a heavily immigrant community where nativity and ethnic networks shape the political landscape. Voter engagement runs low — in the bottom 15% of peers for turnout in 2024.
County in State Context
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Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 35.5% margin
- The 2008 election was decided by just 1.4 points — razor-thin
Located In
Nobles sits inside these higher-level geographies.