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Sioux Falls(Mitchell)

Sioux Falls(Mitchell)

Latest: 2024↓ R+3.7 vs 2020

Safe Republican — shifted 3.7pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 732K residents — 57 counties

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Race & ancestry
Group%
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
80.9%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)
5.9%
▶Black / African American(11)
2.7%
▶Asian(6)
1.6%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)
0.2%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)
5.3%
Multiracial / Other
3.6%
View full demographics →
Religious adherence
Tradition% Pop% Adherents
Mainline Protestant21.1%35.4%
Evangelical Protestant19.4%32.7%
Catholic17.0%28.6%
Other1.6%2.7%
LDS (Mormon)1.0%1.7%
Orthodox Christian0.3%0.6%
Non-religious40.5%—
View full religion →
Presidential results
YearResult
2024Trump+30.4
2020Trump+26.7
2016Trump+29.3
2012Romney+15.3
2008McCain+5.6
2004Bush+19.2
2000Bush+18.2
1996Dole+0.6
1992Bush+0.8
View full election history →

Sioux Falls(Mitchell) is a media market that has a population of 732,442. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+30.4. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, dating back to 1872.

Sioux Falls(Mitchell) Presidential Election Results, 1948–2024
YearDem %Rep %MarginSwing
202433.7%64.1%R+30.4R+3.7
202035.5%62.2%R+26.7D+2.6
201632.1%61.4%R+29.3R+14.0
201241.3%56.6%R+15.3R+9.7
200846.2%51.8%R+5.6D+13.6
200439.6%58.9%R+19.2R+1.0
200039.8%58.0%R+18.2R+17.6
199644.4%45.0%R+0.6D+0.2
199238.4%39.2%R+0.8D+2.0
198848.3%51.1%R+2.8D+18.8
198439.0%60.5%R+21.6D+2.6
198033.9%58.1%R+24.2R+25.5
197650.3%49.0%D+1.3D+7.1
197246.9%52.7%R+5.9D+4.5
196842.7%53.0%R+10.3R+23.8
196456.7%43.2%D+13.5D+29.4
196042.0%58.0%R+15.9R+0.5
195642.3%57.7%R+15.4D+22.4
195231.1%68.9%R+37.8R+37.3
194849.2%49.6%R+0.5—
Political Identity

What defines Sioux Falls(Mitchell)?

Sioux Falls(Mitchell) voted overwhelmingly Republican in 2024. Akashic Edge tracks 39 presidential elections here, revealing how its political character has evolved over more than a century.

Constituent Counties

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Similar media markets

Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
8 visible matches
Constituent Geography

Counties in Sioux Falls(Mitchell)

2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
CountyPop.MarginDemRepTotalShare
Minnehaha203K
R+12.7
39,92351,84293,98632.5%
Lincoln71K
R+26.5
12,98122,62136,39312.6%
Brown38K
E
0000.0%
Brookings35K
E
0000.0%
Codington29K
R+40.8
3,8409,34913,5104.7%
Yankton23K
E
0000.0%
Nobles22K
R+35.5
2,5995,5418,2752.9%
Davison20K
R+37.8
2,7436,2089,1773.2%
Beadle19K
R+40.1
2,0174,8267,0102.4%
Hughes18K
E
0000.0%
Clay15K
D+6.5
2,9442,5745,6572.0%
Lyon12K
R+69.6
1,0235,8997,0022.4%
Lake11K
R+31.2
1,9783,8195,9062.0%
Roberts10K
R+23.0
1,5602,5144,1491.4%
Rock10K
R+39.2
1,5853,6905,3731.9%
Pipestone9K
R+48.0
1,2153,5374,8371.7%
Charles Mix9K
R+42.9
1,0002,5513,6151.2%
Todd9K
D+50.5
1,5704972,1260.7%
Turner9K
R+51.3
1,0443,3744,5381.6%
Murray8K
R+42.3
1,3293,3464,7691.6%
Grant8K
R+45.4
9462,5943,6301.3%
Hutchinson7K
R+57.9
7552,9183,7361.3%
Bon Homme7K
R+51.4
6972,2362,9921.0%
Moody6K
R+31.9
1,0522,0683,1891.1%
Hamlin6K
R+60.5
6102,5603,2261.1%
Spink6K
R+39.0
9212,1453,1391.1%
Osceola6K
R+64.0
5552,6233,2291.1%
McCook6K
R+49.3
7332,2273,0311.0%
Tripp6K
R+63.3
4702,1502,6540.9%
Lincoln6K
R+37.6
9722,1903,2351.1%
Day5K
R+29.9
1,0001,8762,9321.0%
Brule5K
R+42.4
6661,6942,4230.8%
Walworth5K
R+59.2
4811,9402,4660.9%
Kingsbury5K
R+43.9
7601,9892,8011.0%
Dewey5K
D+12.8
1,0327931,8710.6%
Marshall4K
R+24.0
7821,2882,1090.7%
Deuel4K
R+51.7
5281,7172,2980.8%
Edmunds4K
R+60.8
3841,6182,0310.7%
Gregory4K
R+60.2
4261,7902,2670.8%
Clark4K
R+52.5
4151,3821,8420.6%
Lyman4K
R+39.5
4229931,4470.5%
Hanson3K
R+59.2
3991,6112,0460.7%
Hand3K
R+57.3
3651,3761,7640.6%
Stanley3K
R+46.9
4471,2601,7350.6%
Douglas3K
R+72.4
2191,4191,6580.6%
Aurora3K
R+54.1
3021,0561,3930.5%
Potter2K
E
0000.0%
Sanborn2K
R+55.3
2599291,2120.4%
Miner2K
R+47.0
2938411,1670.4%
Mcpherson2K
R+69.2
1881,0871,2990.4%
Faulk2K
R+65.2
1839201,1300.4%
Mellette2K
R+20.1
2854347400.3%
Buffalo2K
D+27.3
2911644660.2%
Jerauld2K
R+43.2
2767089990.3%
Campbell2K
R+70.1
1207068360.3%
Sully2K
E
0000.0%
Hyde1K
E
0000.0%
57 countiesTotal votes: 289,316
Historian Query

Ask the Historian

Explore Sioux Falls(Mitchell)'s political evolution with the Historian
Automated Readout

Key Insights

High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
  • Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
  • Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 30.4% margin
  • Highly elastic — margins have ranged 24.8 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Race & Ancestry

Who Lives Here

A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Sioux Falls(Mitchell)Census ACS 2024Ancestry detail available
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
Expand rows for ancestry detail
White (Non-Hispanic) 80.9%Hispanic 5.9%Native American 5.3%Multiracial 3.6%Black 2.7%Asian 1.6%
GroupLocalNational
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13)
80.9%57.4%
▶Hispanic / Latino(15)
5.9%19.3%
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6)
5.3%0.9%
Multiracial / Other
3.6%4.0%
▶Black / African American(11)
2.7%12.2%
▶Asian(6)
1.6%6.0%
▶Middle Eastern / North African(7)
0.2%0.9%
Method notes

Census treats race and Hispanic/Latino origin as separate questions. Race categories other than Hispanic reflect total populations (small Hispanic overlap in Black, Asian, AIAN, NHPI). “Multiracial / Other” is derived as a non-overlapping remainder.

Click rows to expand ancestry detail. Ancestry from ACS B04006, B03001, B02020, B02016. Totals may differ from race — individuals can report multiple ancestries.

Black / African American (estimated remainder) is derived as Black population share minus reported Sub-Saharan African and West Indian ancestry. It is shown as an estimated ancestry detail, not a standalone Census ancestry category.

MENA estimated from ancestry reporting — Census does not have a separate MENA race category. Not shown in bar (overlaps with other race groups).

Religious Adherents

Population that are religious adherents:
59.5%(436.0K people)
U.S. Religion Census 2020
Browse all religions

Catholic-Evangelical edge: -8.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.

Tradition% Pop% AdherentsUS PopUS Adherents
Mainline Protestant
21.1%35.4%——
Evangelical Protestant
19.4%32.7%——
Catholic
17.0%28.6%——
Other
1.6%2.7%——
LDS (Mormon)
1.0%1.7%——
Orthodox Christian
0.3%0.6%——
Non-religiousPopulation
40.5%———
Click the chevron to expand denominations. Tradition and denomination rows label both share of total population and share of all religious adherents. Non-religious is shown as a share of total population only.

Who lives in the Sioux Falls(Mitchell) media market? 732,442 residents across 57 counties.

Demographic Comparison

Demographics

Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Sioux Falls(Mitchell) vs National732K residents
Population & electorate

Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.

Total population
Local vs state vs U.S.
732K
local
732KNational 334.9M
Share of U.S. population
Local vs state vs U.S.
0.22%
local
0.22%National 100%
Voting-age population
Local vs state vs U.S.
71.5%
local
71.5%National 75.7%
Economic profile

Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.

Median household income
Local vs state vs U.S.
$75,193
local
$75,193National $83,960
Poverty rate
Local vs state vs U.S.
11.1%
local
11.1%National 12.5%
College degree
Local vs state vs U.S.
31.3%
local
31.3%National 35.6%
Homeownership
Local vs state vs U.S.
69.0%
local
69.0%National 65.2%
Community profile

Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.

Median age
Local vs state vs U.S.
37.6 yrs
local
37.6 yrsNational 39.1 yrs
Age 18–29
Local vs state vs U.S.
15.5%
local
15.5%National 15.7%
Age 65+
Local vs state vs U.S.
17.5%
local
17.5%National 17.0%
Foreign born
Local vs state vs U.S.
5.1%
local
5.1%National 14.1%
Non-English at home
Local vs state vs U.S.
8.5%
local
8.5%National 22.2%
English only
Local vs state vs U.S.
91.5%
local
91.5%National 77.8%
Voter Turnout

Turnout in Sioux Falls(Mitchell)

Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
2024 Turnout
55.3%
vs Previous
-9.6pp
Voting-Age Pop
523,410
History
1988–2024
Competitiveness

How competitive is Sioux Falls(Mitchell)?

Safe RAvg margin: R+28.8 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+5.6
2012
R+15.3
2016
R+29.3
2020
R+26.7
2024
R+30.4
Elasticity
24.8pp
margin range
Party Flips
0
last 30 years
5-Elec Avg
R+21.5
Ticket-Splitting

Do voters in Sioux Falls(Mitchell) split their tickets?

Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
ConsistencyHeavy splitting (0/100)
2024 Office Comparisons
OfficesMargin AMargin BSplit
President vs SenateR+30.4R+24.36.1pp
Average divergence across office pairs: 22.9pp
Containing Geography

Located In

Sioux Falls(Mitchell) sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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