Leans Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
155K
COMPETITIVENESS
Likely R
2024 PRES
R+8.5
TURNOUT
79.7%
#18 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$119K
COLLEGE+
44%
Place Story
Leans Republican since 2000
Catholic edge: 34pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 32.4pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 76% non-Hispanic white (+18pp vs national)