Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
101K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+34.8
TURNOUT
79.6%
#19 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$105K
COLLEGE+
30%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 86% non-Hispanic white (+28pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 36.9pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 10pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.