Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
37K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+24.4
TURNOUT
75.1%
#48 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$84K
COLLEGE+
28%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 83% non-Hispanic white (+26pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 39.0pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Catholic edge: 18pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.