Safe Republican — shifted 5.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 38 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
14K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+51.3
TURNOUT
79.5%
#20 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$61K
COLLEGE+
20%
Place Story
Demographically distinctive: 86% non-Hispanic white (+29pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: President ran 36.3pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Evangelical edge: 27pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.