
Safe Republican — 34 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
57K
COMPETITIVENESS
Safe R
2024 PRES
R+66.7
TURNOUT
57.2%
#56 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$58K
COLLEGE+
17%
Place Story
Evangelical edge: 60pp over Catholics
Correlates nationally with Republican-leaning behavior.
Ticket-splitting: President ran 31.1pp behind Senate
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Demographically distinctive: 79% non-Hispanic white (+22pp vs national)