New Orleans
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — 1.7M residents — 14 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.9% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 10.2% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 28.7% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.2% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 37.2% | 57.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 16.1% | 25.1% |
| Black Protestant | 4.7% | 7.4% |
| Other | 3.2% | 5.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.9% | 4.6% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.8% |
| Non-religious | 35.8% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+12.3 |
| 2020 | Trump+9.4 |
| 2016 | Trump+11.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+10.6 |
| 2008 | McCain+15.3 |
| 2004 | Bush+7.4 |
| 2000 | Bush+0.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+13.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+4.0 |
New Orleans is a media market that has a population of 1,742,004. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+12.3. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42.9% | 55.3% | R+12.3 | R+2.9 |
| 2020 | 44.4% | 53.9% | R+9.4 | D+1.8 |
| 2016 | 42.5% | 53.7% | R+11.2 | R+0.6 |
| 2012 | 43.7% | 54.3% | R+10.6 | D+4.7 |
| 2008 | 41.5% | 56.8% | R+15.3 | R+7.8 |
| 2004 | 45.8% | 53.2% | R+7.4 | R+6.6 |
| 2000 | 48.4% | 49.2% | R+0.8 | R+14.7 |
| 1996 | 53.7% | 39.8% | D+13.9 | D+9.9 |
| 1992 | 46.1% | 42.1% | D+4.0 | D+13.3 |
| 1988 | 44.6% | 53.8% | R+9.2 | D+13.4 |
| 1984 | 38.3% | 60.9% | R+22.6 | R+15.8 |
| 1980 | 44.9% | 51.7% | R+6.8 | R+10.1 |
| 1976 | 50.4% | 47.1% | D+3.3 | D+40.2 |
| 1972 | 28.2% | 65.1% | R+36.9 | R+42.3 |
| 1968 | 30.1% | 24.7% | D+5.3 | D+7.0 |
| 1964 | 49.2% | 50.8% | R+1.7 | R+29.5 |
| 1960 | 52.3% | 24.5% | D+27.8 | D+43.8 |
| 1956 | 40.0% | 56.0% | R+16.0 | R+21.8 |
| 1952 | 52.9% | 47.1% | D+5.8 | R+5.4 |
| 1948 | 31.8% | 20.6% | D+11.2 | — |
What defines New Orleans?
It has a plurality-minority electorate (46% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
Constituent Counties
Similar media markets
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
Counties in New Orleans
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jefferson | 431K | R+12.9 | 75,731 | 98,810 | 178,205 | 23.3% |
| Orleans | 372K | D+67.0 | 130,749 | 24,119 | 159,130 | 20.8% |
| St. Tammany | 272K | R+43.8 | 37,777 | 98,377 | 138,384 | 18.1% |
| Tangipahoa | 137K | R+37.4 | 16,886 | 37,500 | 55,104 | 7.2% |
| Terrebonne | 106K | R+51.8 | 9,702 | 31,115 | 41,327 | 5.4% |
| Lafourche | 96K | R+62.1 | 7,864 | 34,461 | 42,845 | 5.6% |
| Pearl River | 57K | R+66.7 | 3,982 | 20,438 | 24,671 | 3.2% |
| St. Charles | 51K | R+32.3 | 8,812 | 17,443 | 26,685 | 3.5% |
| Hancock | 46K | R+58.7 | 4,262 | 16,684 | 21,175 | 2.8% |
| Washington | 45K | R+40.3 | 5,411 | 12,846 | 18,455 | 2.4% |
| St. Bernard | 44K | R+29.3 | 5,967 | 11,033 | 17,292 | 2.3% |
| St. John the Baptist | 41K | D+29.1 | 12,043 | 6,557 | 18,827 | 2.5% |
| Plaquemines | 23K | R+38.0 | 3,023 | 6,803 | 9,945 | 1.3% |
| St. James | 20K | R+0.9 | 5,792 | 5,902 | 11,789 | 1.5% |
14 countiesTotal votes: 763,834
Ask the Historian
Explore New Orleans's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Turnout decreased by 4.0 percentage points since the previous presidential election
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | New Orleans | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 53.9% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(13) | 28.7% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 10.2% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 3.9% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 2.2% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(3) | 1.0% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(3) | 0.1% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
64.2%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: +28.4pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Catholic-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Democratic-leaning urban and suburban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 37.2% | 57.9% | — | — | |
| 16.1% | 25.1% | — | — | |
| 4.7% | 7.4% | — | — | |
| 3.2% | 5.0% | — | — | |
| 2.9% | 4.6% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 0.5% | 0.8% | — | — |
Non-religiousPopulation | 35.8% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the New Orleans media market? 1,742,004 residents across 14 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
1.7M
Share of U.S. population
0.52%
Voting-age population
75.6%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$64,843
Poverty rate
17.2%
College degree
30.2%
Homeownership
67.4%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
39.5 yrs
Age 18–29
14.4%
Age 65+
17.6%
Foreign born
6.9%
Non-English at home
11.1%
English only
88.9%
Turnout in New Orleans
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
58.0%
-4.0pp
1,316,767
1988–2024
How competitive is New Orleans?
Likely RAvg margin: R+11.0 (last 3 elections)
2008
R+15.3
2012
R+10.6
2016
R+11.2
2020
R+9.4
2024
R+12.3
5.9pp
1
R+11.8
Do voters in New Orleans split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (0/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| President vs Senate | R+12.3 | R+64.0 | 51.7pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 28.7pp
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