Bates County, Missouri
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 3.1pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 91.7% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(4) | 2.6% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 2.1% |
▶Asian(4) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Native American / Alaska Native | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.9% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 32.4% | 73.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 10.7% | 24.4% |
| Catholic | 0.8% | 1.9% |
| Non-religious | 56.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+61.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+58.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+54.2 |
| 2012 | Romney+31.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+18.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+19.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+11.0 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.4 |
Bates, Missouri is a county that has a population of 16,186. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+61.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18.7% | 80.3% | R+61.6 | R+3.1 |
| 2020 | 19.9% | 78.4% | R+58.5 | R+4.3 |
| 2016 | 20.0% | 74.2% | R+54.2 | R+22.5 |
| 2012 | 32.9% | 64.6% | R+31.7 | R+12.8 |
| 2008 | 39.5% | 58.3% | R+18.9 | D+0.1 |
| 2004 | 40.1% | 59.1% | R+19.0 | R+7.9 |
| 2000 | 43.5% | 54.5% | R+11.0 | R+15.5 |
| 1996 | 45.2% | 40.7% | D+4.5 | R+1.9 |
| 1992 | 38.7% | 32.3% | D+6.4 | D+9.9 |
| 1988 | 48.1% | 51.6% | R+3.5 | D+15.3 |
| 1984 | 40.6% | 59.4% | R+18.8 | R+8.6 |
| 1980 | 43.8% | 54.0% | R+10.2 | R+22.4 |
| 1976 | 55.8% | 43.6% | D+12.2 | D+39.7 |
| 1972 | 36.2% | 63.8% | R+27.5 | R+18.9 |
| 1968 | 40.8% | 49.5% | R+8.7 | R+27.7 |
| 1964 | 59.5% | 40.5% | D+19.0 | D+35.3 |
| 1960 | 41.8% | 58.2% | R+16.3 | R+4.4 |
| 1956 | 44.0% | 56.0% | R+11.9 | D+8.1 |
| 1952 | 40.0% | 60.0% | R+20.1 | R+22.6 |
| 1948 | 51.2% | 48.7% | D+2.5 | — |
What defines Bates?
Bates has been trending Republican — 30pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 61.6% margin
- Shifted 29.9 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Bates sits inside these higher-level geographies.