Kansas City, MO-KS
Latest: 2024
Competitive — 2.2M residents — 14 counties
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 69.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 10.9% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 11.8% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 18.9% | 42.0% |
| Catholic | 11.2% | 24.9% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.0% | 15.6% |
| Other | 4.2% | 9.3% |
| Black Protestant | 3.5% | 7.8% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 3.6% |
| Orthodox Christian | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Non-religious | 55.1% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+2.6 |
| 2020 | Biden+4.6 |
| 2016 | Trump+1.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+2.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+5.6 |
| 2004 | Bush+3.3 |
| 2000 | Gore+0.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+9.9 |
Kansas City, MO-KS is a metro area that has a population of 2,218,142. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+2.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50.3% | 47.7% | D+2.6 | R+2.0 |
| 2020 | 51.2% | 46.6% | D+4.6 | D+6.2 |
| 2016 | 45.4% | 47.0% | R+1.6 | D+0.7 |
| 2012 | 47.8% | 50.1% | R+2.3 | R+7.9 |
| 2008 | 52.1% | 46.5% | D+5.6 | D+8.9 |
| 2004 | 47.9% | 51.3% | R+3.3 | R+4.2 |
| 2000 | 48.9% | 48.0% | D+0.9 | R+3.6 |
| 1996 | 47.6% | 43.1% | D+4.5 | R+5.4 |
| 1992 | 42.2% | 32.3% | D+9.9 | D+7.9 |
| 1988 | 50.7% | 48.7% | D+2.0 | D+16.9 |
| 1984 | 42.4% | 57.3% | R+14.9 | R+11.1 |
| 1980 | 44.7% | 48.6% | R+3.9 | R+5.7 |
| 1976 | 50.0% | 48.2% | D+1.8 | D+29.6 |
| 1972 | 35.6% | 63.4% | R+27.8 | R+26.5 |
| 1968 | 43.0% | 44.3% | R+1.3 | R+27.1 |
| 1964 | 62.7% | 36.9% | D+25.8 | D+26.7 |
| 1960 | 49.5% | 50.4% | R+0.9 | D+2.0 |
| 1956 | 48.5% | 51.5% | R+3.0 | D+1.5 |
| 1952 | 47.7% | 52.1% | R+4.4 | R+22.9 |
| 1948 | 59.0% | 40.4% | D+18.5 | — |
What defines Kansas City, MO-KS?
Kansas City, MO-KS has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (3D, 3R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a racially mixed, moderately educated electorate — the suburban swing demographic that decides close elections.
Constituent Counties
Similar metro areas
Nearest neighbors matched on the same place-page feature set used across the dossier system.
St. Louis, MO-IL
Educated rural competitive 2
Omaha, NE-IA
Educated rural competitive 2
Louisville/Jefferson County, KY-IN
Educated rural competitive 2
Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
Educated rural competitive 2
Virginia Beach-Chesapeake-Norfolk, VA-NC
Educated rural competitive 2
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Educated rural competitive 2
Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
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Philadelphia-Camden-Wilmington, PA-NJ-DE-MD
Educated rural competitive 2
Counties in Kansas City, MO-KS
2024 presidential results across the counties that make up this geography.
Sort:
| County | Pop. | Margin | Dem | Rep | Total | Share |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson | 720K | D+19.5 | 187,026 | 125,610 | 315,614 | 29.3% |
| Johnson | 621K | D+8.4 | 183,451 | 154,247 | 346,860 | 32.2% |
| Clay | 258K | R+5.6 | 60,345 | 67,688 | 130,160 | 12.1% |
| Wyandotte | 168K | D+22.6 | 30,938 | 18,867 | 53,373 | 5.0% |
| Cass | 111K | R+32.1 | 19,753 | 38,792 | 59,349 | 5.5% |
| Platte | 110K | R+3.1 | 27,566 | 29,381 | 57,817 | 5.4% |
| Leavenworth | 83K | R+22.6 | 13,732 | 22,055 | 36,756 | 3.4% |
| Miami | 35K | R+39.4 | 5,472 | 12,854 | 18,750 | 1.7% |
| Lafayette | 33K | R+48.9 | 4,294 | 12,720 | 17,248 | 1.6% |
| Ray | 23K | R+48.7 | 2,927 | 8,602 | 11,662 | 1.1% |
| Clinton | 21K | R+47.9 | 2,855 | 8,235 | 11,230 | 1.0% |
| Bates | 16K | R+61.6 | 1,563 | 6,702 | 8,344 | 0.8% |
| Linn | 10K | R+64.4 | 854 | 4,093 | 5,029 | 0.5% |
| Caldwell | 9K | R+61.3 | 888 | 3,771 | 4,703 | 0.4% |
14 countiesTotal votes: 1,076,895
Ask the Historian
Explore Kansas City, MO-KS's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2016 election was decided by just 1.6 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2024, Republicans in 2016
Who Lives Here
A race-first Census view with ancestry expansion where source coverage is strong enough to support detail.
Census race profile
Major Census race and ethnicity groups shown as a share of total population.
| Group | Kansas City, MO-KS | National |
|---|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 69.2% | 57.4% |
▶Black / African American(14) | 11.8% | 12.2% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(19) | 10.9% | 19.3% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.5% | 4.0% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.0% | 6.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(2) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.5% | 0.9% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(4) | 0.2% | 0.2% |
Method notes
Religious Adherents
Population that are religious adherents:
44.9%
Catholic-Evangelical edge: -21.6pp (vs national 4.5pp). A strongly Evangelical-leaning religious profile, which nationally correlates with Republican-leaning rural and exurban communities.
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents | US Pop | US Adherents |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18.9% | 42.0% | — | — | |
| 11.2% | 24.9% | — | — | |
| 7.0% | 15.6% | — | — | |
| 4.2% | 9.3% | — | — | |
| 3.5% | 7.8% | — | — | |
LDS (Mormon) | 1.6% | 3.6% | — | — |
| 0.1% | 0.3% | — | — | |
Non-religiousPopulation | 55.1% | — | — | — |
Who lives in the Kansas City, MO-KS metro area? 2,218,142 residents across 14 counties.
Demographics
Read this geography's profile in three layers: local, state (where available), and national baseline.
40% of adults hold a bachelor's degree — 7pp above the national average. Places with similar education levels vote D+8 on average nationally.
Population & electorate
Scale, voting-age share, and this geography's footprint inside the national electorate.
Total population
2.2M
Share of U.S. population
0.66%
Voting-age population
75.0%
Economic profile
Income, attainment, and ownership indicators that often shape coalition structure and turnout behavior.
Median household income
$85,243
Poverty rate
10.0%
College degree
39.7%
Homeownership
65.8%
Community profile
Age structure, language use, and nativity signals that explain how this geography differs from state and nation.
Median age
38.0 yrs
Age 18–29
15.0%
Age 65+
16.0%
Foreign born
7.3%
Non-English at home
11.1%
English only
88.9%
Turnout in Kansas City, MO-KS
Estimated using 2020 Census voting-age population.
64.8%
-0.8pp
1,663,046
1988–2024
How competitive is Kansas City, MO-KS?
TossupAvg margin: D+1.9 (last 3 elections)
2008
D+5.6
2012
R+2.3
2016
R+1.6
2020
D+4.6
2024
D+2.6
7.9pp
4
D+1.8
Do voters in Kansas City, MO-KS split their tickets?
Divergence between offices in the same election reveals persuadable voters.
Heavy splitting (40/100)
| Offices | Margin A | Margin B | Split |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senate vs Governor | D+5.5 | D+0.1 | 5.5pp |
| President vs Senate | D+2.6 | D+5.5 | 2.9pp |
| President vs Governor | D+2.6 | D+0.1 | 2.5pp |
Average divergence across office pairs: 11.6pp
Located In
Kansas City, MO-KS sits inside these higher-level geographies.
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