Carter County, Missouri
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 4.0pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 92.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 2.3% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 37.0% | 84.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.3% | 7.6% |
| Other | 2.4% | 5.5% |
| Catholic | 1.0% | 2.3% |
| Non-religious | 56.2% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+74.2 |
| 2020 | Trump+70.2 |
| 2016 | Trump+66.3 |
| 2012 | Romney+43.7 |
| 2008 | McCain+29.5 |
| 2004 | Bush+30.0 |
| 2000 | Bush+26.1 |
| 1996 | Dole+0.3 |
| 1992 | Clinton+2.5 |
Carter, Missouri is a county that has a population of 5,297. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+74.2. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12.7% | 86.9% | R+74.2 | R+4.0 |
| 2020 | 14.4% | 84.6% | R+70.2 | R+3.9 |
| 2016 | 15.3% | 81.5% | R+66.3 | R+22.5 |
| 2012 | 26.9% | 70.7% | R+43.7 | R+14.2 |
| 2008 | 34.0% | 63.5% | R+29.5 | D+0.4 |
| 2004 | 34.7% | 64.7% | R+30.0 | R+3.9 |
| 2000 | 35.5% | 61.6% | R+26.1 | R+25.8 |
| 1996 | 43.8% | 44.1% | R+0.3 | R+2.8 |
| 1992 | 43.5% | 41.0% | D+2.5 | D+16.1 |
| 1988 | 43.0% | 56.5% | R+13.5 | D+7.4 |
| 1984 | 39.5% | 60.5% | R+21.0 | R+15.4 |
| 1980 | 45.9% | 51.4% | R+5.5 | R+21.1 |
| 1976 | 57.5% | 42.0% | D+15.6 | D+53.5 |
| 1972 | 31.0% | 69.0% | R+38.0 | R+31.5 |
| 1968 | 39.1% | 45.6% | R+6.5 | R+30.1 |
| 1964 | 61.8% | 38.2% | D+23.6 | D+44.8 |
| 1960 | 39.4% | 60.6% | R+21.1 | R+22.8 |
| 1956 | 50.8% | 49.2% | D+1.6 | D+0.6 |
| 1952 | 50.5% | 49.5% | D+1.0 | R+12.0 |
| 1948 | 56.1% | 43.1% | D+13.0 | — |
What defines Carter?
Carter has been trending Republican — 30pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 74.2% margin
- Shifted 30.5 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Carter sits inside these higher-level geographies.