Shelby County, Missouri
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 93.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(5) | 2.3% |
▶Black / African American(1) | 1.6% |
▶Asian(2) | 0.4% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(1) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 34.0% | 70.2% |
| Mainline Protestant | 9.6% | 19.8% |
| Catholic | 4.8% | 10.0% |
| Non-religious | 51.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+65.6 |
| 2020 | Trump+62.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+58.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+37.8 |
| 2008 | McCain+31.7 |
| 2004 | Bush+30.8 |
| 2000 | Bush+20.7 |
| 1996 | Clinton+6.4 |
| 1992 | Clinton+7.8 |
Shelby, Missouri is a county that has a population of 5,986. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+65.6. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.9% | 82.5% | R+65.6 | R+2.7 |
| 2020 | 17.7% | 80.6% | R+62.9 | R+4.4 |
| 2016 | 18.5% | 77.1% | R+58.6 | R+20.8 |
| 2012 | 29.9% | 67.7% | R+37.8 | R+6.1 |
| 2008 | 33.6% | 65.3% | R+31.7 | R+0.9 |
| 2004 | 34.3% | 65.1% | R+30.8 | R+10.1 |
| 2000 | 38.7% | 59.4% | R+20.7 | R+27.1 |
| 1996 | 46.1% | 39.6% | D+6.4 | R+1.4 |
| 1992 | 42.3% | 34.4% | D+7.8 | D+1.0 |
| 1988 | 53.3% | 46.5% | D+6.8 | D+24.4 |
| 1984 | 41.2% | 58.8% | R+17.6 | R+10.2 |
| 1980 | 45.3% | 52.7% | R+7.4 | R+28.3 |
| 1976 | 60.2% | 39.2% | D+20.9 | D+34.4 |
| 1972 | 43.3% | 56.7% | R+13.5 | R+22.1 |
| 1968 | 49.9% | 41.3% | D+8.6 | R+35.9 |
| 1964 | 72.3% | 27.7% | D+44.5 | D+28.1 |
| 1960 | 58.2% | 41.8% | D+16.4 | R+4.6 |
| 1956 | 60.5% | 39.5% | D+20.9 | D+1.1 |
| 1952 | 59.7% | 39.9% | D+19.8 | R+23.3 |
| 1948 | 71.4% | 28.3% | D+43.1 | — |
What defines Shelby?
Shelby has been trending Republican — 28pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 65.6% margin
- Shifted 27.8 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Shelby sits inside these higher-level geographies.