Sullivan County, Missouri
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 40 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(11) | 76.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 18.1% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 2.7% |
▶Asian(1) | 1.0% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 0.4% |
Multiracial / Other | 1.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Evangelical Protestant | 41.7% | 71.5% |
| Catholic | 11.7% | 20.0% |
| Mainline Protestant | 3.5% | 5.9% |
| Other | 1.6% | 2.6% |
| Non-religious | 41.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+66.1 |
| 2020 | Trump+60.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+54.6 |
| 2012 | Romney+27.1 |
| 2008 | McCain+15.1 |
| 2004 | Bush+22.7 |
| 2000 | Bush+24.5 |
| 1996 | Clinton+4.2 |
| 1992 | Clinton+5.4 |
Sullivan, Missouri is a county that has a population of 5,857. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+66.1. Akashic Edge tracks 40 presidential elections here, dating back to 1868.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16.6% | 82.6% | R+66.1 | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | 19.3% | 79.9% | R+60.5 | R+5.9 |
| 2016 | 21.2% | 75.8% | R+54.6 | R+27.6 |
| 2012 | 35.0% | 62.0% | R+27.1 | R+11.9 |
| 2008 | 40.9% | 56.0% | R+15.1 | D+7.6 |
| 2004 | 38.1% | 60.9% | R+22.7 | D+1.8 |
| 2000 | 36.8% | 61.3% | R+24.5 | R+28.6 |
| 1996 | 45.9% | 41.7% | D+4.2 | R+1.2 |
| 1992 | 43.9% | 38.6% | D+5.4 | D+15.0 |
| 1988 | 45.1% | 54.7% | R+9.7 | D+3.1 |
| 1984 | 43.6% | 56.4% | R+12.8 | D+0.8 |
| 1980 | 42.2% | 55.8% | R+13.6 | R+17.4 |
| 1976 | 51.6% | 47.7% | D+3.8 | D+28.2 |
| 1972 | 37.8% | 62.2% | R+24.4 | R+14.8 |
| 1968 | 42.7% | 52.2% | R+9.5 | R+23.1 |
| 1964 | 56.8% | 43.2% | D+13.6 | D+25.8 |
| 1960 | 43.9% | 56.1% | R+12.2 | R+3.3 |
| 1956 | 45.5% | 54.5% | R+9.0 | D+1.4 |
| 1952 | 44.8% | 55.2% | R+10.4 | R+15.0 |
| 1948 | 52.2% | 47.6% | D+4.6 | — |
What defines Sullivan?
Sullivan has been trending Republican — 39pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a working-class, predominantly white electorate — strong Republican base territory.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Republican in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Republican landslide with a 66.1% margin
- Shifted 39.0 points toward Republicans over the last 4 elections
Located In
Sullivan sits inside these higher-level geographies.