Blaine County, Montana
Latest: 2024
Leans Republican — shifted 9.8pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 29 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(12) | 44.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(3) | 2.8% |
▶Black / African American(3) | 0.4% |
▶Asian(1) | 0.1% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(4) | 48.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.4% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 20.9% | 48.3% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 12.1% | 27.8% |
| Mainline Protestant | 7.3% | 16.8% |
| Other | 3.0% | 7.0% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.0% | 6.9% |
| Non-religious | 56.7% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+5.9 |
| 2020 | Biden+3.9 |
| 2016 | Trump+2.5 |
| 2012 | Obama+15.3 |
| 2008 | Obama+19.2 |
| 2004 | Bush+4.5 |
| 2000 | Bush+5.9 |
| 1996 | Clinton+6.5 |
| 1992 | Clinton+12.6 |
Blaine, Montana is a county that has a population of 6,949. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+5.9. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 44.7% | 50.5% | R+5.9 | R+9.8 |
| 2020 | 51.0% | 47.1% | D+3.9 | D+6.3 |
| 2016 | 44.8% | 47.2% | R+2.5 | R+17.8 |
| 2012 | 56.5% | 41.2% | D+15.3 | R+3.9 |
| 2008 | 58.2% | 38.9% | D+19.2 | D+23.7 |
| 2004 | 47.0% | 51.4% | R+4.5 | D+1.5 |
| 2000 | 45.2% | 51.1% | R+5.9 | R+12.5 |
| 1996 | 45.5% | 39.0% | D+6.5 | R+6.1 |
| 1992 | 44.5% | 31.9% | D+12.6 | D+10.6 |
| 1988 | 50.1% | 48.1% | D+2.0 | D+18.9 |
| 1984 | 41.0% | 57.9% | R+16.9 | D+2.4 |
| 1980 | 37.0% | 56.3% | R+19.3 | R+19.6 |
| 1976 | 49.5% | 49.3% | D+0.3 | D+13.3 |
| 1972 | 41.4% | 54.4% | R+13.0 | R+9.5 |
| 1968 | 45.1% | 48.6% | R+3.5 | R+32.4 |
| 1964 | 64.4% | 35.6% | D+28.9 | D+19.2 |
| 1960 | 54.6% | 44.9% | D+9.7 | D+10.5 |
| 1956 | 49.6% | 50.4% | R+0.8 | D+21.2 |
| 1952 | 38.9% | 60.8% | R+22.0 | R+46.4 |
| 1948 | 60.7% | 36.3% | D+24.4 | — |
What defines Blaine?
Blaine has flipped between parties in each of the last three elections — a fiercely contested battleground. It has a plurality-minority electorate (56% nonwhite) where demographic change is reshaping the political map.
County in State Context
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Explore this county's political evolution with the Historian
Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 25.1 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Located In
Blaine sits inside these higher-level geographies.