Lake County, Montana
Latest: 2024
Safe Republican — shifted 5.5pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 26 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 64.6% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(10) | 4.3% |
▶Black / African American(5) | 0.2% |
▶Asian(5) | 0.7% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(4) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(6) | 20.3% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.2% |
Multiracial / Other | 9.7% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 9.5% | 32.1% |
| Other | 8.5% | 28.7% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 7.2% | 24.5% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 6.1% | 20.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 4.3% | 14.7% |
| Non-religious | 70.5% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+19.9 |
| 2020 | Trump+14.5 |
| 2016 | Trump+20.9 |
| 2012 | Romney+10.0 |
| 2008 | Obama+1.9 |
| 2004 | Bush+18.2 |
| 2000 | Bush+22.3 |
| 1996 | Dole+4.9 |
| 1992 | Clinton+3.2 |
Lake, Montana is a county that has a population of 32,561. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+19.9. Akashic Edge tracks 26 presidential elections here, dating back to 1924.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 38.5% | 58.4% | R+19.9 | R+5.5 |
| 2020 | 41.6% | 56.1% | R+14.5 | D+6.4 |
| 2016 | 36.2% | 57.1% | R+20.9 | R+10.9 |
| 2012 | 43.6% | 53.6% | R+10.0 | R+11.9 |
| 2008 | 48.5% | 46.6% | D+1.9 | D+20.1 |
| 2004 | 39.4% | 57.6% | R+18.2 | D+4.2 |
| 2000 | 33.9% | 56.3% | R+22.3 | R+17.5 |
| 1996 | 38.7% | 43.6% | R+4.9 | R+8.1 |
| 1992 | 37.3% | 34.1% | D+3.2 | D+11.7 |
| 1988 | 44.9% | 53.4% | R+8.5 | D+15.9 |
| 1984 | 37.2% | 61.6% | R+24.4 | D+4.5 |
| 1980 | 30.6% | 59.6% | R+28.9 | R+21.2 |
| 1976 | 45.1% | 52.8% | R+7.7 | D+20.8 |
| 1972 | 33.6% | 62.1% | R+28.5 | R+5.1 |
| 1968 | 32.6% | 56.0% | R+23.4 | R+28.7 |
| 1964 | 52.6% | 47.2% | D+5.3 | D+19.0 |
| 1960 | 43.1% | 56.8% | R+13.6 | D+6.1 |
| 1956 | 40.1% | 59.9% | R+19.8 | D+11.6 |
| 1952 | 33.7% | 65.1% | R+31.3 | R+28.8 |
| 1948 | 46.8% | 49.4% | R+2.5 | — |
What defines Lake?
Lake has been won by both parties in the last 6 presidential elections (1D, 5R) — a genuine swing geography. It has a moderately diverse, middle-class electorate where education levels and suburban growth shape the partisan balance.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- The 2008 election was decided by just 1.9 points — razor-thin
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2008, Republicans in 2024
- Highly elastic — margins have ranged 22.8 points across recent elections, suggesting a volatile electorate
Located In
Lake sits inside these higher-level geographies.