Leans Republican — 40 presidential elections on record
POPULATION
65K
COMPETITIVENESS
Likely R
2024 PRES
R+13.0
TURNOUT
77.7%
#4 in state
MEDIAN INCOME
$93K
COLLEGE+
34%
Place Story
Leans Republican since 2012
Demographically distinctive: 93% non-Hispanic white (+35pp vs national)
Ticket-splitting: Senate ran 49.2pp ahead of Governor
Persuadable voters present — downballot races can run independent of presidential.
Catholic edge: 20pp over Evangelicals
Correlates nationally with Democratic-leaning behavior.
Contextual statewide polling for New Hampshire. County pages stay rooted in county returns, but live statewide polling helps frame the current cycle.
Chris Pappas leads at 45.6%
Kelly Ayotte leads at 45.5%