Bernalillo County, New Mexico
Latest: 2024
Safe Democratic — shifted 3.4pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 29 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 37.1% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(18) | 49.1% |
▶Black / African American(12) | 3.1% |
▶Asian(6) | 3.0% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(10) | 0.7% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(7) | 5.0% |
▶Native Hawaiian / Pacific Islander(2) | 0.1% |
Multiracial / Other | 2.6% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 30.8% | 55.9% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 15.2% | 27.7% |
| Other | 5.7% | 10.4% |
| Mainline Protestant | 2.6% | 4.7% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 2.1% | 3.8% |
| Black Protestant | 0.6% | 1.1% |
| Non-religious | 45.0% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Harris+21.0 |
| 2020 | Biden+24.4 |
| 2016 | Clinton+17.7 |
| 2012 | Obama+16.4 |
| 2008 | Obama+21.4 |
| 2004 | Kerry+4.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+2.1 |
| 1996 | Clinton+5.1 |
| 1992 | Clinton+6.8 |
Bernalillo, New Mexico is a county that has a population of 673,930. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Democratic with a margin of D+21.0. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 59.2% | 38.2% | D+21.0 | R+3.4 |
| 2020 | 61.0% | 36.6% | D+24.4 | D+6.7 |
| 2016 | 52.2% | 34.5% | D+17.7 | D+1.4 |
| 2012 | 55.6% | 39.3% | D+16.4 | R+5.0 |
| 2008 | 60.0% | 38.7% | D+21.4 | D+17.2 |
| 2004 | 51.5% | 47.3% | D+4.2 | D+2.1 |
| 2000 | 48.7% | 46.6% | D+2.1 | R+3.0 |
| 1996 | 48.3% | 43.2% | D+5.1 | R+1.7 |
| 1992 | 45.3% | 38.5% | D+6.8 | D+15.1 |
| 1988 | 45.3% | 53.6% | R+8.4 | D+12.8 |
| 1984 | 38.9% | 60.1% | R+21.2 | R+2.6 |
| 1980 | 34.9% | 53.5% | R+18.5 | R+9.6 |
| 1976 | 45.1% | 54.0% | R+8.9 | D+14.8 |
| 1972 | 37.1% | 60.8% | R+23.8 | R+8.7 |
| 1968 | 39.9% | 55.0% | R+15.1 | R+27.7 |
| 1964 | 56.0% | 43.3% | D+12.7 | D+17.6 |
| 1960 | 47.5% | 52.5% | R+4.9 | D+24.6 |
| 1956 | 35.2% | 64.8% | R+29.5 | R+10.1 |
| 1952 | 40.3% | 59.7% | R+19.4 | R+21.7 |
| 1948 | 51.2% | 48.8% | D+2.3 | — |
What defines Bernalillo?
It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Has voted Democratic in the last 5 presidential elections
- Latest election (2024) was a Democratic landslide with a 21.0% margin