Socorro County, New Mexico
Latest: 2024
Competitive — shifted 10.2pp toward Republicans in 2024 — 29 presidential elections on record
Race & ancestry
| Group | % |
|---|---|
▶White (Non-Hispanic)(13) | 32.8% |
▶Hispanic / Latino(6) | 50.3% |
▶Black / African American(2) | 0.4% |
▶Asian(3) | 1.8% |
▶Middle Eastern / North African(3) | 0.5% |
▶Native American / Alaska Native(1) | 10.6% |
Multiracial / Other | 4.0% |
Religious adherence
| Tradition | % Pop | % Adherents |
|---|---|---|
| Catholic | 28.0% | 71.1% |
| Evangelical Protestant | 4.9% | 12.4% |
| Other | 4.7% | 11.9% |
| LDS (Mormon) | 3.8% | 9.6% |
| Mainline Protestant | 1.8% | 4.6% |
| Non-religious | 60.6% | — |
Presidential results
| Year | Result |
|---|---|
| 2024 | Trump+3.7 |
| 2020 | Biden+6.5 |
| 2016 | Clinton+10.2 |
| 2012 | Obama+18.6 |
| 2008 | Obama+21.1 |
| 2004 | Kerry+4.2 |
| 2000 | Gore+1.8 |
| 1996 | Clinton+16.6 |
| 1992 | Clinton+11.9 |
Socorro, New Mexico is a county that has a population of 16,200. In the 2024 presidential election, it voted Republican with a margin of R+3.7. Akashic Edge tracks 29 presidential elections here, dating back to 1912.
| Year | Dem % | Rep % | Margin | Swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46.8% | 50.5% | R+3.7 | R+10.2 |
| 2020 | 52.0% | 45.5% | D+6.5 | R+3.6 |
| 2016 | 48.2% | 38.1% | D+10.2 | R+8.4 |
| 2012 | 56.4% | 37.8% | D+18.6 | R+2.5 |
| 2008 | 59.5% | 38.4% | D+21.1 | D+16.9 |
| 2004 | 51.3% | 47.1% | D+4.2 | D+2.4 |
| 2000 | 48.3% | 46.5% | D+1.8 | R+14.9 |
| 1996 | 53.0% | 36.4% | D+16.6 | D+4.8 |
| 1992 | 47.8% | 35.9% | D+11.9 | D+14.3 |
| 1988 | 47.6% | 50.1% | R+2.5 | D+11.8 |
| 1984 | 42.0% | 56.3% | R+14.3 | R+5.8 |
| 1980 | 41.1% | 49.5% | R+8.5 | R+15.4 |
| 1976 | 52.8% | 45.9% | D+6.9 | D+20.9 |
| 1972 | 42.2% | 56.2% | R+14.0 | R+5.7 |
| 1968 | 43.7% | 52.1% | R+8.4 | R+23.3 |
| 1964 | 57.3% | 42.4% | D+14.9 | D+2.2 |
| 1960 | 56.4% | 43.6% | D+12.7 | D+35.9 |
| 1956 | 38.4% | 61.6% | R+23.1 | R+11.5 |
| 1952 | 44.2% | 55.8% | R+11.7 | D+1.5 |
| 1948 | 43.4% | 56.6% | R+13.2 | — |
What defines Socorro?
Socorro has been trending Republican — 22pp redder over the last 4 presidential cycles. It has a majority-minority electorate where racial demographics are the primary driver of partisan lean.
County in State Context
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Key Insights
High-confidence patterns distilled from this geography's election history.
- Swung 10.2 points toward Republican between 2020 and 2024
- Split-ticket voting in 2024: Different parties won President and Senate
- Won by both parties in recent history — Democrats most recently in 2020, Republicans in 2024